It could be a topsy turvy 12 more days, folks. We just had a rush of new national polls confirming a big national lead for Hillary Clinton. The PollTracker Average now gives Clinton an 8.6 percentage point lead (Clinton 49.2, Trump 40.6). But a batch of new Senate polls shifted the TPM Senate Scoreboard to D - 48, R- 50 with two seats (Missouri and New Hampshire) in the Toss-Up category. Meanwhile, both Clinton and Trump have notched down slightly on The TPM Electoral Scoreboard as Georgia and Florida go into the Toss-Up category. The presidential race seems basically where it's been, with some minor permutations. But today's Senate polls paint a different picture of where things seemed at the start of the week. That could be a big deal as Republicans are now lining up to say they will refuse to confirm any Supreme Court appointees for the duration of Clinton's term if she wins.