The Latest
The Mystery of the Pro-Trump Mailer Storm Flooding Dem Mailboxes Prime Badge
09.05.24 | 2:27 pm

I wanted to share with you some of my findings about the mass mailing of Trump mailers to registered Democrats in swing states across the country. It’s a bit of a rabbit hole. So in part, understand it as such, an entertaining mystery. But I think it’s potentially a bit more than a rabbit hole. It also sheds some light on the dynamics of the campaign, specifically on the Trump campaign, which has firepower heavily weighted toward a series of super PACs and outside groups both for messaging and ground operations.

As I’ve discussed in a few posts, I started hearing from readers who are registered Democrats with long histories of straight-ticket voting who are being inundated with Trump mailers. In some cases it’s as much as two or three mailers a day everyday. Others aren’t quite that level of saturation. But lots of readers who fit in what we’ll call the category of “poor target” are getting them. The reports come from all the swing states, though they’re concentrated in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Georgia and North Carolina. They’re also in Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada, but it seems to be a bit less there. In all cases the recipients have never seen anything like it before. So it’s not just that this is what always happens in swing states. Getting this many flyers from any Republican campaign is totally new. It all seems to have started in the last couple weeks.

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Listen To This: 4th Quarter
09.05.24 | 12:16 pm

A new episode of The Josh Marshall Podcast is live! This week, Kate and Josh discuss the final, post-Labor Day sprint of the campaign.

You can listen to the new episode of The Josh Marshall Podcast here.

Right-Wing Influencers Allegedly Duped By Russian Election Interference Scheme
INSIDE: Donald Trump ... Kamala Harris ... Ginni Thomas
09.05.24 | 10:01 am
Some General, Out-of-the-Headlines Observations Prime Badge
09.04.24 | 3:10 pm

Here are just a few facts and observations to keep in mind as we move toward Election Day.

  • I have heard from numerous TPM readers in swing states, registered Democrats with long histories of voting for Democrats, who are being deluged by Trump flyers, sometimes as many as two or three new ones a day. I’ve heard from enough of them that I don’t think this is just a few people on the wrong list. I think it’s something more general. In the cases where I’ve been able to ask, it’s either mostly or all from Trump super PACs rather than the campaign itself. I don’t know yet whether this is evidence of very inefficient spending or whether the spending is so mammoth that this is in effect the splash created by unprecedented levels of spending.
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PJ on PA
09.04.24 | 1:42 pm

From TPM Reader PJ

I live in Western PA, and do my best to do some driving tours of the areas outside of the metropole I live in during campaign season, and what I see are a lot fewer signs out in those area for Trump. Also can back up this thing about mailers….our household, which should not in any sense be thought of as GOP-curious, is receiving a TON of these pro-Trump and anti-Harris fliers. One of the biggest talking points is that Harris is going to gut Medicare and Social Security (because inflation makes all spending go less far, I guess?) while Trump will defend Medicare and Social Security (these materials actually feature quotes from him telling the GOP to keep their hands off of our entitlements). 

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Ginni Thomas Privately Praised Group Working Against Supreme Court Reform: ‘Thank You So, So, So Much’
In a call with donors, First Liberty Institute’s Kelly Shackelford read the supportive email he said came from Thomas. The leader of the religious-rights group also labeled Justice Elena Kagan “treasonous” for backing a stronger ethics code.
09.04.24 | 11:20 am
Trump Outright Denies Arlington Cemetery Altercation
INSIDE: Tucker Carlson ... Tim Sheehy ... Mark Robinson
09.04.24 | 10:01 am