Prime - 2020
10.30.20 | 12:54 pm
Where Things Stand: Trump’s Judicial Success Could Linger Longer Than You Think Prime Badge
This is your TPM afternoon briefing.

With the help of his Senate Republican lackeys (mostly Mitch McConnell) President Trump has shoved through not only a record number of judges to lifelong appointments, but he’s done it at an unprecedented pace — more than lapping his predecessor.

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10.30.20 | 1:37 pm
Random Observations

Looking at the totality of the polls, the big story still seems to be an essential stability. In our conversation with Guy Cecil of Priorities USA yesterday, he said that their internal polls showed much more stability than the more scattershot public polls. But even those public polls seem quite consistent. The thing you see in these last few days is that the density of polling is so great that a lot of the randomness and bounciness created by different pollsters with different methodologies and house effects releasing polls at different times gets washed away. The picture doesn’t necessarily change but it can come into clearer focus.

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10.30.20 | 3:37 pm
Bright Side Prime Badge

TPM Reader TB looks to some advantages if Democrats do well on Tuesday …

Thanks for your coverage of the campaign and of the Trump Presidency over the last 4 years. Like you and your readers, I have spent most of the last 4 years being dismayed and deeply concerned about the country with Trump in the White House. There have been many moments, however, when I have felt like Emperor Palpatine in Return of the Jedi when he said “everything that has transpired has done so according to my design”. That specifically related to Palpatine himself leaking the location of the shield generator to the Rebels, thus leading them into a trap. If the election goes well like the polls currently predict, there is an argument to be made that the Dems couldn’t have designed a more devious plan for 2020.

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10.31.20 | 10:43 am
Setting the Table Prime Badge

I think there’s something to this. From TPM Reader JK

I know that this hasn’t necessarily been an active debate on the site, but I remember reading recently a comment suggesting impeachment was not worth it. I know it was not the explicit goal of impeachment, but there can be no doubt that the impeachment proceedings have been a tremendous benefit to Biden (and probably Democrats in general) in this election. The impeachment proceedings provided the Democrats a chance to educate the country on the ratfuckery Trump was up to with respect to manufacturing those incomprehensible allegations against Biden and Hunter Biden. I believe those proceedings gave the media a preview of the bullshit that was coming their way and it allowed them to have their guards up when it inevitably did get pushed. And when the nasty bile did come their way, they mostly laughed it off. In my mind, it was the impeachment proceedings that made that happen.

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10.31.20 | 1:20 pm
Where Things Stand: A Strong Whiff Of GOP Desperation Prime Badge
This is your TPM afternoon briefing.

Republicans are shifting course in their attempts to seize victory from the jaws of potential electoral defeat.

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10.31.20 | 2:53 pm
Democracy vs the Corrupt Federal Judiciary: Which Side Are You On? Prime Badge

We now have another case in Texas where the state Republican party is going to court to attempt to throw out roughly 100,000 ballots cast via curbside voting in Harris County, Texas. They lost their bid in state courts. So now they’re rushing to federal court where a thoroughly corrupted federal judiciary is likely open to this wholesale disenfranchisement. Federal judges are buying into the theory proposed by four justices on the pre-Barrett Court that only state legislatures can make any changes to voting procedures. Mark Joseph Stern of Slate says state Republicans have drawn one of the most partisan federal judges in Texas to hear the case.

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10.31.20 | 8:26 pm
A Different Kind of Scandal Prime Badge

In the chaotic rush of news you may have noticed this headline that another laptop of Hunter Biden’s was found in a February DEA raid. Read a little further and you learn it was a raid on the office of a “celebrity psychiatrist.” One might legitimately ask just how many laptops Hunter Biden owned and why he seemed to be leaving them all over the country – this one was in Massachusetts. But one would look long and hard for any clear reference to the fact that this “celebrity psychiatrist” was in fact a high profile former Fox News commentator named Keith Ablow.

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11.01.20 | 1:02 pm
The Road to Reform Prime Badge

From TPM Reader NL

I think there is a small subset of the Democratic universe that appreciates that court reform is vital to sustaining small-d democracy over the near term given the very unhidden corruption of the federal judiciary.

However, as a party, I worry that a loser’s mentality is baked into how we operate. My spouse is a former government attorney with connections through the DC legal community. You cannot imagine how many creative ideas for court reform I have had passed on to me. The one defect with all these proposals is a desire to find the “fair” solution now. This completely mistakes how power works. Without a show of force that establishes that Democrats finally have the intestinal fortitude to do what the moment demands, there is no reason for anyone (let alone McConnell) to take them seriously. Is there a way to break through this academic approach to change? I have no idea. I would not normally care, except that this subset of Democrats manages to be extraordinarily well-connected.

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11.01.20 | 2:55 pm
Where Things Stand: Trumpworld’s Final Gambit Is A Head-First Dive Into Conspiracies Prime Badge
This is your TPM afternoon briefing.

President Trump’s personal lawyer has been on various conspiracy tears for months. His initial fever-swamp stoking about Hunter Biden backfired dramatically, which, in his brain, is apparently just cause to double down.

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11.01.20 | 5:23 pm
Tension and Menace – Trump’s Psychological Warfare Against the People Prime Badge

You’re probably tense. I am too. We’ve noted in our reporting the cloud of tension that appears to be resting over the whole country as we move to within 48 hours of election day. Some of this is natural. A national election is high stakes. In 2020 the stakes feel and are uncommonly high. That puts everyone on edge.

But these sources of anxiety and tension don’t really make for more than a small portion of what people are feeling. The cloud of tension and menace hanging over the country stems from the specific fact that the President and his party are making an all out press to limit voting, slow vote counting and now toss out literally hundreds of thousands of bonafide, legally cast votes. On top of this, related to this, the President has quite intentionally left open the possibility that he won’t accept defeat but will try to stay in office – likely with the connivance of the corrupt Supreme Court, but perhaps in some unknown way only he knows.

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