The gap between Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire has narrowed over the course of the week, though Sanders still holds a comfortable lead in the key early state, according to the University of Massachusetts Lowell tracking poll released on Friday morning.
In the Friday poll, Sanders earned 55 percent support and Clinton earned 40 percent support among likely Democratic voters in the state. Since the UMass tracking poll released on Thursday, Clinton jumped 4 percentage points while Sanders dropped 3 percentage points.
Since the first tracking poll released on Monday, Clinton has gained 10 percentage points, when she polled at 30 percent in the UMass tracking poll. Sanders saw his biggest lead on Tuesday with 63 percent support, and he has dropped 8 percentage points since then in the tracking poll.
TPM’s Polltracker average shows Sanders leading Clinton in New Hampshire 57.1 to 35.7.
The UMass poll, sponsored by Boston news station WHDH, was conducted from Feb. 2-4 via phone. They surveyed 434 likely Democratic voters with a margin of error plus or minus 5.24 percentage points.
Correction: This post incorrectly stated that the margin of error among likely Democratic voters was plus or minus 2.89 percentage points. The margin of error is 5.24 percentage points.
of course it will tighten. I expect a mere 3 or 4 point spread at most.
I think New Hampshire is much more interested in picking a ‘winner’ than Iowa was. I too think the gap with narrow significantly.
Given a 5+ point margin of error, and that it’s a telephone poll, the change in Sanders’ lead is within the margin of error, and unless the telephone poll includes poleless telephones (sorry about that), i.e., cell phones, um. . .
Polls will tighten both in NH and Nationally. I still think Hillary is the best qualified person in history to step into the White House. Bernie would be destroyed by the GOP.
She wiped the floor with him intellectually, factually, and especially in terms of foreign policy. He could answer nothing specifically, or if he did he just echoed her conclusions, then said but she couldn’t get anything through without a revolution behind it. He sells a lot snake oil–I didn’t hear one single specific out of him, except he would mirror Obama’s current ISIL strategy and he’d get China to put its knee on N. Korea’s neck. She was down to earth, and able to see the world as it is.
I don’t know about NH people, if they value informed intelligence or high rhetoric for their presidential candidates,