Poll: Kansas Senate Race Is Tied With Two Weeks To Go

FILE - In this Saturday, Sept. 6, 2014 file photo, Sen. Pat Roberts, left, R-Dodge City, and Greg Orman, Independent for U.S. Senate, speak at the conclusion of their Senatorial Debate at the Kansas State Fair in Hut... FILE - In this Saturday, Sept. 6, 2014 file photo, Sen. Pat Roberts, left, R-Dodge City, and Greg Orman, Independent for U.S. Senate, speak at the conclusion of their Senatorial Debate at the Kansas State Fair in Hutchinson, Kan. On Friday, Sept. 12, 2014, Roberts posted an online ad attacking independent candidate Orman as a liberal pretending to be a Kansas conservative and immediately faced demands from the challenger to remove the spot over "manipulated" audio from a recent debate. (AP Photo/The Hutchinson News, Lindsey Bauman) MORE LESS

Sen. Pat Roberts (R-KS) and independent candidate Greg Orman are tied in a new Monmouth University poll, further evidence that the race has pulled even in its final weeks.

Monmouth found Orman and Roberts both sitting at 46 percent; 3 percent said they’d vote for someone else and 5 percent were undecided.

Polling in Kansas has been somewhat erratic since Democratic nominee Chad Taylor dropped out in early September, but the trend has been toward a tightening race between Orman and Roberts. The Democratic firm Public Policy Polling put Orman up three last week, while Remington Research gave Roberts a three-point lead over the same period.

The Monmouth poll, conducted Oct. 16 to 19, surveyed 429 likely voters. Its margin of error is 4.7 points.

According to TPM’s PollTracker average, Roberts currently holds a marginal advantage, 44.7 percent to 44.2 percent.

12
Show Comments

Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for dave48 dave48 says:

    If these polls turn out to be as inaccurate as they’ve been for the last two election cycles, will the media (including TPM) finally admit that most of them are useless trash?

  2. Interesting race.

    Frequently, you have Democrats losing races because they try to avoid ideology, and time and time again, it proves the adage that you cannot beat something with nothing.

    In Kansas, we now have two nothings running against each other, though it this case, one of them is an independent.

  3. Kansans will end up sticking with the idiot just because he’s “our boy”…and it’s sad to see.

  4. Avatar for bdtex bdtex says:

    MOE is 4.7? That’s sorta a useless poll then.

  5. None of the polls are all that good, but they all point to a much tighter race than Roberts anticipated. Orman might pull this out. Neither has a really good GOTV organization so this could be tight.

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

6 more replies

Participants

Avatar for system1 Avatar for bdtex Avatar for msaroff Avatar for dave48 Avatar for fourlegsgood Avatar for daveyjones64 Avatar for captaincommonsense Avatar for ronbyers Avatar for emilianoelmexicano Avatar for jayhiker Avatar for tsp

Continue Discussion