A last minute Quinnipiac University poll released Monday, a day before the Nov. 4 midterm election, shows the Iowa race for U.S. Senate between state Sen. Joni Ernst (R) and Rep. Bruce Braley (D-IA) tied.
The poll found both Braley and Ernst getting 47 percent each among likely voters. Another 4 percent said they were undecided.
The poll’s results come after a damaging poll for Braley by the Des Moines Register, which showed Ernst leading the Democratic congressman by 7 percentage points. Braley’s campaign strongly criticized those results and hailed the new Quinnipiac poll as a sign that the race is still up for grabs, even with such little time left on the clock.
The last Quinnipiac poll, taken in late October, showed Ernst leading Braley 49 percent to 45 percent.
The new Quinnipiac poll was conducted among 778 likely voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
The TPM Polltracker average finds Ernst with a 1.8 point lead over Braley.
Every poll except Seltzer has shown the race tightening, with Braley gaining, in the past week. The Q poll has consistently shown Ernst leading, even with Braley having a big advantage in early voting. Now they say it’s tied… and that Braley still has a huge early vote lead.
The real question is – with the Seltzer poll endlessly hyped and endlessly called the “gold standard,” how many Dems won’t bother to vote because it said the race is over?
Meanwhile, CNN – which gave a huge banner headline yesterday to the Seltzer poll and other negative polls – isn’t bothering to report this Q poll, or their poll showing a sudden tightening in CO. Instead, they’re just reposting yesterday’s story. But then, that’s the liberal media for you.
This appears to confirm that an argument can be made that the Register Seltzer poll is an outlier since this one is consistent with all of the other recent polls (except Seltzer ) that show a much closer race than the 7 point spread from the Register poll. The final verdict will of course be in the results on election day.
I have about as much need for CNN, the desperate for ratings channel, as I do for Fox. I have Dish Satellite, and I guess they had problems with a new contract for CNN and HLN, because the other day when I was scrolling through the channels, I discovered that where CNN used to be, it now says “CNN has been removed by Turner”.
In it’s place is now MSNBC, so it is actually on two different channels on my TV. Obviously I care so little about CNN, that I didn’t even notice that I didn’t get it anymore. I think this is just another indication how much trouble they are in.
Republicans answer the landline and talk to pollsters. Dems don’t have landlines.
That Selzer poll was an outlier out of the gate. But it was taken seriously because of the Beltway narrative. Assholes!