Incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan (D-NC) has maintained her lead over Republican candidate state House Speaker Thom Tillis, according to an NBC/Marist poll released Sunday.
Among likely voters, 44 percent said they would support Hagan while 40 percent said they would back Tillis. Seven percent said they would support Libertarian candidate Sean Haugh.
A CNN poll last week found that Hagan had a three point lead over Tillis among likely voters.
According to TPM’s Polltracker average, Hagan has a 3.7 point lead over Tillis.
NBC surveyed 685 likely voters Sept. 27-Oct. 1 with a margin of error plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
Hagan is a big part of the firewall Democrats need if they are to retain control of the Senate.
I hope the GOTV effort in NC is up to the task.
If she holds then NC will rejoin VA as a beach head into the South for the Dems. A strong Hillary push in these states with GA could cripple the GOP national plan for decades.
This really is a battle between voter suppression and changing demographics that by 2016 could shake up the statehouses. NC, KS, OH, MI, FL, NJ and the WI experiments all turned sour. Quite a bit more riding on Nov. than control of the Senate for the GOP.
One of the weirdest things about this state is the number of people who insist they’ll vote for the Libertarian when they’re polled and yet never actually do so.
I know they’re getting a voter protection campaign togther for the first time in a midterm here ever. The vote suppression law the GA passed that has provisions that don’t come into effect until 2016 but that angry old Fox white guys will be out trying to enforce in 2014 is part of that, of course . . .
Does that mean Hagan’s position is more tenuous than it appears? Do those Libertarian leaners just tend to stay home, or split, or vote GOP? Any sense of their pattern in NC?