Carson And Trump In Virtual Tie For The Lead In New National Poll

Ben Carson, right, watches as Donald Trump speaks during the CNBC Republican presidential debate at the University of Colorado, Wednesday, Oct. 28, 2015, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)

Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and real estate mogul Donald Trump are effectively tied for the lead in a national poll released by Quinnipiac University on Wednesday.

Among Republican voters, Trump received 24 percent support and Carson received 23 percent support. Following the two frontrunners, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) got 14 percent of voters and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) got 13 percent of the vote. The rest of the Republican candidates polled in the single digits.

Carson has surged six points since the last Quinnipiac national poll at the end of September. And former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has slipped six points in the past month.

In the Wednesday poll, Bush had the worst negativity rating among registered voters. Just 25 percent viewed him favorably and 58 percent viewed him unfavorably. And 37 percent viewed Trump favorably, while 56 percent viewed him unfavorably. Forty-two percent of registered voters viewed Hillary Clinton favorably, and 52 percent viewed her unfavorably.

Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,144 registered voters via phone Oct. 29-Nov. 2 with a margin of error plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. Quinnipiac surveyed 502 Republicans with a margin of error plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.

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  1. Net favouribilty among rep.voters , the fav column is interesting, JEB? is 10th belov Rand and Santorum.

    no worry, JEB? can fix it…

    >                      REPUBLICANS.......................
    >                                    Hvn't
    >                      Fav    Unfav  hrdEn  REF    NetFav
    > Carson               82      6     12      -     76
    > Rubio                71     10     19      -     61
    > Cruz                 68      9     23      -     59
    > Fiorina              69     13     18      -     56
    > Huckabee             63     13     22      2     50
    > Christie             57     23     19      -     34
    > Trump                63     30      6      1     33
    > Jindal               40     17     43      1     23
    > Santorum             45     22     32      -     23
    > Paul                 45     34     20      2     11
    > Kasich               31     23     46      -      8
    > Bush                 44     47      9      -     -3
    > Graham               22     34     43      1     -12
    > Gilmore               4     20     75      1     -16
    > Pataki               12     30     56      1     -18
  2. Makes sense: two virtual candidates in a virtual tie - virtual strange political bedfellows. Take a reliable measure of either one & it becomes impossible to achieve the same level of accuracy as to the proper measure of the other. They’re like entangled virtual particles: if one of them disappears, the other must as well; like a plus charge and a minus charge, one can’t subsist without reference to the other: if one blow ups, the other soon follows.

  3. Also below Jindal, and Kasich: he’s underwater against fringe contestants.

    His campaign should start working on his Kiddie Table strategy.

  4. Yes, net total even worse,

    I am considering putting money on JEB? out before Thanksgiving…

  5. C’mon Dr. Knowlittle! You do entertain the RepubliKKKlans…although there isn’t a chance in hell you would EVER be the nominee for that political cult.

    Dance for your GOP masters. They like that!

    At the moment, you’re just window dressing…and most of their low/no info voters have no idea who you are. Enjoy the attention…for now.

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