On the eve of the Democratic Presidential debate in New Hampshire, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton posted a 31-point lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) per Friday morning’s ABC News/Washington Post poll.
Clinton polled 59 percent among Democratic and Democratic-leaning independent voters while Sanders earned 28 percent and former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley earned 5 percent.
ABC News pointed out that Clinton lead President Barack Obama by similar margins in 2007 — and we all know how that turned out.
Clinton, though she led Sanders in handling of terrorism, trailed him in trustworthiness and honesty.
The poll was conducted by Langer Research Associates among 1,002 adults in English Spanish by landline and cell phone from Dec. 10-13. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.5 percent.
Quite a lead and quite a showing this close to the primaries.
Trump: Liberals are so silly. They are going to nominate someone who I will decimate in general elections. I bet ISIS is happy that it might be Bengazi Clinton as president of USA.
I call bullshit. In September of 07, Clinton led obama by 14 points. By mid-January 08, it was down to 5. At what point in their 2007-8 Dem primary polls close to this point in the race did she lead Obama by 31 points? The media is trying to keep people reading their papers/websites by fantasizing about a possible horse race when all signs show Hillary pulling away.
No, Gallup had Clinton leading Obama by 28 points at the end of '07.
I’ll post the link.
It’s 11-07, and 27 points
Its mid/late December (cause not much if anything is going to happen over the holidays). Not September. The polling in '07/08 showed that Obama was closing the gap with Hillary. The polling today shows the opposite…Hillary has maintained and is expanding her lead in every state but NH…where she is closing the gap.
Polls tell what is happening at a specific point in time. They are not crystal balls telling you what will happen in the future. The polling was correct in '07/08…Hillary was the front runner, and Obama did close the gap and eventually overtake her. The numbers show that.
Just like this campaign they show that Sanders made a big splash, Hillary got pounded in the papers about a nonscandal and her number suffered. Since the 11 hour marathon, however, she has continued to rise in polls. At no time has she lost her front runner status, and instead, her lead is growing.
You could reasonably point to the '08 polling as an argument, if there was some other factors occurring in the race and on the ground to support Sanders surging. But there isn’t. She is out fund raising him. She has a bigger more aggressive and better organized ground game. She is making more campaign appearances. Her team is putting on more events.
If some external news item breaks in January, then the numbers will adjust. But barring that, it seems extremely doubtful that Sanders is going to close the gap before Iowa.