The Christian Right Fires A Warning Shot At Senate Republicans

After passing the House with the support of 47 Republicans, the Respect for Marriage Act, which would protect marriage rights for same-sex couples if the Supreme Court were to overturn its 2015 decision in Obergefell v. Hodges, faces much dimmer prospects in the Senate. There is one reason why: the Christian right still controls the Republican Party. Movement leaders know it took 50 years to reverse Roe, and are committed to a similar strategy to undermine and eventually overturn Obergefell. With abundant clues in the Supreme Court’s June decision overturning Roe that LGBTQ rights could be next on the chopping block, it is unimaginable that movement leaders would sink that goal by allowing this bill to become law.

Republican senators are keenly aware of this. That is why South Dakota’s John Thune and Louisiana’s Bill Cassidy accused Democrats of introducing the bill to distract from inflation. It is why Florida’s Marco Rubio called it “a stupid waste of time,” and claimed gay Floridians are “pissed off” about something else — high gas prices. And it is why Maine’s Susan Collins, who was one of the bill’s four original Republican supporters, came up with the laughing-crying emoji argument that, because Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) and Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) had struck a surprise deal on Democratic legislative priorities late last month, she would struggle to win fellow Republicans’ support for the marriage bill. “[I]t was a very unfortunate move that destroys the many bipartisan efforts that are under way,” she told HuffPost.

These were opportune but risible excuses. The reality is these Republicans were already seeing an avalanche of opposition from Christian right political advocacy organizations. Family Research Council Action, the political arm of the Family Research Council church, began calling the bill the “(Dis)Respect for Marriage Act” before it reached the House floor. The group reminded Republican lawmakers that their party platform states, “[t]raditional marriage and family, based on marriage between one man and one woman, is the foundation for a free society and has for millennia been entrusted with rearing children and instilling cultural values.” In an email blast, FRC Action sowed fear among its supporters that the bill would be used to persecute them and take away their religious freedom. It reminded them that in the 1970s, the IRS revoked the tax exemption of the segregationist, fundamentalist Christian Bob Jones University over its racist policies, suggesting, despite the fact that it hasn’t happened in the seven years since Obergefell, that universities and nonprofits that oppose marriage equality could face a similar fate. The American Family Association called the bill “an Orwellian attempt to pretend that the Court’s very recent discovery of a constitutional right to same-sex marriage is not controversial and offensive to many people around the country.” The Heritage Foundation called it a “publicity stunt” aimed at “tak[ing] the spotlight off progressives’ radical policies and paint conservatives as bigots — and all this conveniently before the midterm elections.”

Despite the Christian right’s protestations that same-sex marriage is unpopular, it is actually extremely popular, with Gallup earlier this year finding 71 percent of Americans — a record high — supporting it. What’s more, most religious people do not think protections for same-sex marriage infringe on their religious freedom. According to the Public Religion Research Institute, “Majorities of most major religious groups support same-sex marriage,” with one significant outlier: white evangelicals. Only 35 percent of white evangelicals support marriage equality — and their views drive the Republican Party. In the Senate, the filibuster rules reinforce this tyranny of the minority. 

There are two reasons for the Christian right’s dominance of the GOP. One is that while white evangelicals make up just 15 percent of the population, they are highly enthusiastic voters; they made up 28 percent of the 2020 electorate, and 76 percent of them voted for Donald Trump. They make up large swaths of the electorate in red states, and are likely to be motivated to engage in backlash against a Republican senator seen to betray the cause. 

The second reason is that the Christian right — made up of white evangelical activists along with other conservative white Protestants and Catholics — has built a formidable political and legal machine designed to position themselves as defenders of the true faith and the real Christian America. A well-funded constellation of legal and political organizations has been inordinately successful in amassing power, both in Republican Washington, red state legislatures, and the federal judiciary. It is designed to flex its muscles at moments like these. 

The opposition to the Respect for Marriage Act is an object lesson in how the Christian right’s power works.

That network’s strength has been on full display in recent weeks. The legal powerhouse Alliance Defending Freedom took the lead on a letter to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell opposing the bill, signed by more than 80 religious right leaders. The letter denounced the bill “in the strongest possible terms,” characterizing it as “an attack on millions of Americans, particularly people of faith, who believe marriage is between one man and one woman and that legitimate distinctions exist between men and women concerning family formation that should be recognized in the law.” 

As I reported for TPM in 2019, ADF has not only led the way in transforming our jurisprudence against church-state separation and reproductive and LGBTQ rights, it has cultivated and cemented relationships that ensure its proximity to power. It counts among its compatriots Supreme Court Justice Amy Coney Barrett and Senator Josh Hawley, who have both been faculty speakers for its training program for aspiring Christian lawyers. In 2019, Hawley single-handedly killed the appointment of a federal judge, nominated by Trump, because he had once litigated a case against ADF. Hawley’s wife, also a lawyer, now works for ADF, and played a key role in the strategy to overturn Roe

After the House vote, FRC Action pledged to support primary challengers to any Republicans who voted for the bill. Some won’t face this blowback since they are retiring or have already lost their primaries. FRC Action’s first target was Michigan’s Peter Meijer, who did lose his August 2 primary, but likely would have anyway because of his vote for Trump’s impeachment. Nonetheless, the message certainly is not lost on Republicans in the Senate where, unlike the House, GOP votes are necessary to get the bill past a filibuster. No one wants to be the one who tips the scales in favor of the bill, and incurs the wrath of Christian right operatives and the get-out-the-vote machine at the disposal of a primary challenger. 

Lately the media has taken a greater interest in exploring and reporting on Christian nationalism. It is, however, crucial not only to understand what Christian nationalism is as an ideology, but to understand how right-wing operatives have attained the power to subvert democratic structures and democratic values in order to make it the core of anti-majoritarian rule. The opposition to the Respect for Marriage Act is an object lesson in how that power works. Christian right operatives and lawyers argue that America is a Christian nation, that Christians’ right to practice their religion must be protected from secular, progressive incursions like constitutional rights for LGBTQ people, and that it is the duty of judges and government officials to ensure that these “biblical” values are secured. With a sympathetic majority on the Supreme Court and a razor-thin Democratic majority in the Senate with filibuster rules favorable to conservatives, the Christian right has every incentive to deploy this power. And because Republicans no longer have an alternative base upon which to build a coalition, they will continue to relent.

Eastman Desperately Proposed Using Georgia Senate Runoffs To Prove BS Voter Fraud Claims

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.

I’ll Never Let Go, Jack!

John Eastman emailed Rudy Giuliani on Inauguration Day 2021 proposing that they file more election lawsuits to try to delegitimize the results of Georgia’s Jan. 5 Senate runoffs won by Democrats Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. The email was obtained by the New York Times.

  • Eastman’s email indicated that unlike with the presidential election, the proposal was less about undoing the runoff results and more about saving face after his voter fraud conspiracy theories were shown to be, uh, bullshit. “A lot of us have now staked our reputations on the claims of election fraud, and this would be a way to gather proof,” Eastman wrote.
  • Eastman also asked Giuliani to help him collect the $270,000 he claimed the Trump campaign owed him for his coup services. Trump had predictably bilked Eastman out of those legal bills, and it’s not clear how helpful Giuliani could’ve been given that he too got stiffed by his client.

Another Top Trump WH Lawyer Subpoenaed In DOJ’s Jan. 6 Probe

Patrick Philbin, the former White House deputy counsel who worked under White House counsel Pat Cipollone, has been subpoenaed for testimony and records in the Justice Department’s investigation into the Capitol attack, according to CNN and the New York Times.

GOPers Realize They Might’ve Done Fucked Up With War On Abortion

Several Republican senators who spoke to HuffPost on Wednesday admitted to seeing some major red flags after voters in ruby-red Kansas voted overwhelmingly to preserve abortion rights in their state’s constitution the day before.

  • “It’s definitely a wake-up call for us,” Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said.
  • “Kansas, which is a pretty red state―it’s hard to find the words. I think people should look at it,” Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC) said.

Alex Jones Gets Accidentally Busted By Own Lawyers

The ongoing trial in the Sandy Hook families’ defamation suit against Alex Jones has been nothing but a disaster for the far-right conspiracy monger so far, and said disaster took the funniest possible turn on Wednesday.

  • That’s when a lawyer representing the families dropped a nuclear bombshell: Jones’ very competent attorneys had mistakenly sent years worth of content on his phone to the families’ legal team, proving definitively that Jones had lied under oath when he claimed he didn’t have any texts related to Sandy Hook.
  • Now the House Jan. 6 Committee is ready to pounce on this golden opportunity, according to Rolling Stone: The panel began to prepare a request to the Sandy Hook families’ lawyer for the tranche of messages “within minutes” (in Rolling Stone’s words) of the lawyer revealing the texts.

Biden Still Testing Positive For COVID

White House physician Kevin O’Connor reported on Wednesday that Biden’s COVID-19 test came up positive again earlier in the morning, and that he’s still experiencing an occasional cough “but less frequently than yesterday.” Otherwise, the President continues to feel well, according to O’Connor.

Must Read

“How Klamath Falls Pride Pushed Back Against Bundys & Local Bigots–And Won” – Left Coast Right Watch

“Here’s how abortion rights supporters won in conservative Kansas.” – The New York Times

Indiana Congresswoman Dies In Crash

Rep. Jackie Walorski (R-IN), 58, was killed with three other people in a car crash in Elkhart County, Indiana on Wednesday, House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) confirmed. Two of the three other victims who died in the collision were Walorski’s staffers.

Pelosi Wraps Up Taiwan Trip Amid China’s Rage

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) on Wednesday concluded her trip with a delegation of fellow House members to Taiwan that had drawn fury from the Chinese government. Pelosi and her delegation arrived on Tuesday in the face of China’s threats of retaliation as “an unequivocal statement that America stands with Taiwan, our democratic partner, as it defends itself and its freedom,” the Democratic leader wrote in a Washington Post op-ed explaining her reasons for the controversial visit.

Giuliani Likely To Dodge Charges In Ukraine Lobbying Probe

Prosecutors’ and the FBI’s criminal investigation into ex-Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani for illegal foreign lobbying isn’t likely to lead to federal charges against him, according to the New York Times and NBC News.

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Report: Jan. 6 Panel Set To Subpoena Alex Jones’ Records After Revelations In Defamation Trial

The Jan. 6 Select Committee is reportedly planning to subpoena far-right conspiracy theorist Alex Jones’ records after his texts and emails were revealed Wednesday in a defamation lawsuit filed by the families of the Sandy Hook shooting victims, sources familiar with the matter and another person briefed on it told Rolling Stone.

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Blue Trend #2

Another probabilistic nugget. As of today, the polls-only version of the 538 Senate forecast has 52 Democratic seats as the most likely outcome of the election. That’s enough to pass a Roe law in January 2023 if Democrats hold the House. The House is almost certainly the bigger challenge at this point. But the two equation is firmly locked together. House candidates need the Senate pledges completely nailed down to run on Roe and Reform in their races, even though the filibuster itself has nothing to do with the House.

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GOP Candidates Just Can’t Stop Lying About Elections—Even When They’re Winning

Candidates who’ve pushed lies about the 2020 election, and who’ve campaigned on various schemes to limit or subvert democracy, did quite well in Tuesday’s primary elections in several states around the country. 

Continue reading “GOP Candidates Just Can’t Stop Lying About Elections—Even When They’re Winning”

Blue Trend

I consider 538 the canonical average for the congressional generic ballot. Just in the last hour it clicked to dead even after a group of new polls came out showing Democrats in the lead. The RCP average, which benefits from some pro-GOP fiddling, moved to a .3 point GOP advantage. Whichever measure you go by this is a move of between two and three points since the leaked version of Dobbs dropped in May. It is always important to remember that tied isn’t tied. Because of embedded geographical and districting advantages Republicans can win the House handily with a tied generic ballot. I would say you would want to see Democrats ahead on this number by 3 points to have some rough confidence they would hold the House. But the movement is all in the right direction. There’s been a shift of a point or so in just the last week.

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Arizona House Speaker Who Testified To Jan. 6 Committee Loses To Trump-Backed Challenger

Arizona House Speaker Rusty Bowers (R) on Wednesday lost his bid in the state Senate GOP primary to former state Sen. David Farnsworth, who gained the endorsement of former President Trump. Bowers’ defeat comes months after he testified publicly before the Jan. 6 Select Committee about Trump’s efforts to pressure him into subverting Arizona’s 2020 presidential election results.

Continue reading “Arizona House Speaker Who Testified To Jan. 6 Committee Loses To Trump-Backed Challenger”