How Could You NOT Subpoena Mike Pence?

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.

Pence Is A Critical Jan. 6 Witness

The big news last evening, first reported by ABC News and then duplicated by every major news outlet, was that Special Counsel Jack Smith has subpoenaed former Vice President Mike Pence as part of his investigation into the 2020 election subversion scheme.

My reaction was a mixture of relief that it finally happened and chagrin that it took so long. You can’t fairly investigate Jan. 6 and the events leading up to it without Pence’s testimony. He’s a must-have witness.

To be fair, Pence and the Justice Department have reportedly been in negotiations for months over his testimony, so the subpoena is as much a culmination of one process as it is the beginning of another. Nonetheless, this has been a long time coming (though it remains unclear publicly when the subpoena issued).

A few points to capture the general reaction among close observers of the investigation:

  • Pence’s executive privilege claims (or more precisely those Trump will raise to block some of Pence’s testimony) are not particularly strong.
  • Remember that a series of secret court battles have been fought over executive privilege already and our best understanding is that DOJ succeeded in getting the testimony of Pence aides Marc Short and Greg Jacob.
  • Pence has already divulged information in his own memoir that falls squarely within executive privilege. You can’t say it in your book then decline to testify about it to the grand jury.

Let me also flag the distressingly real possibility that under current precedent some of the most significant court decisions of the last half century around executive privilege and the ability to hold the president accountable for criminal conduct may happen in secret. That would be a disaster for the rule of law and democracy. Stay tuned on that front.

One last point: The Smith investigation appears to be pressing ahead resolutely now, but it’s hard not to think back to all the time Merrick Garland lost in 2021. The Pence subpoena comes more than two years after the fact, long enough for Pence to have published his memoir in the meantime.

Don’t Sleep On This One

The Pence subpoena sucked up all the oxygen yesterday, but we learned via CNN that former Trump national security adviser Robert O’Brien has also been subpoenaed by Jack Smith.

Biden Brings It On Social Security

President Biden seems to be relishing the leverage he has since the State of the Union in attacking Republicans over Social Security. He was in Florida yesterday, where Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) is a chief target, and wouldn’t you know but Scott’s controversial plan was hilariously placed on every seat at the Biden event:

You’ll remember Scott rolled out his 12-point plan last year before the midterms while he was heading up the Senate Republicans’ campaign arm, much to the consternation of Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY), who is still roasting Scott over it:

Biden himself pulled no punches at the Florida event: “Look, I know that a lot of Republicans, their dream is to cut Social Security and Medicare. Well, let me say this — if that’s your dream, I’m your nightmare.”

The Newest George Santos Dog Scandal Is A Head Scratcher

Help me make sense of this.

Politico first reported yesterday and other outlets confirmed that Rep. George Santos (R-NY) was charged in Pennsylvania in 2017 for writing bad checks totaling more than $15,000 to Amish dog breeders. Among the baffling details:

  • The case didn’t come to a head until 2020, when Santos received a extradition warrant in New York.
  • Santos allegedly told Pennsylvania law enforcement he worked for the SEC ( he didn’t).
  • The charges were dropped after Santos claimed his checkbook had been stolen. The lawyer friend who helped Santos on the case now says she doesn’t believe his story given the serial fabrications that have since emerged.
  • Soon after one of the bogus checks was written with “puppy” in the memo line, Santos’s fake dog charity held a puppy adoption event on Staten Island.

I’m sure there’s a perfectly reasonable explanation for all this. Right?

Another George Santos?!?!

WASHINGTON, DC – FEBRUARY 07: U.S. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) waits for President Joe Biden’s State of the Union address. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

The Washington Post has an in-depth report out this morning on the curious biography of another incoming thirtysomething GOP member of Congress that doesn’t quite add up.

The WaPo story doesn’t go so far as accusing Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) of fabricating her biographical details – and in fact her mother corroborates much but not all of her daughter’s account – but there is a lot of fishiness around certain aspects of her past and of her public identity.

Luna, 33, was plucked from relative obscurity by Turning Point USA founder Charlie Kirk in 2018 to be the group’s director of Hispanic engagement. But her Hispanic identity and hardcore conservatism seem to have emerged rather late in life, according to the Post report:

Twelve years before she was elected as the first Mexican American woman to represent Florida in Congress, Anna Paulina Luna was serving at Whiteman Air Force Base in Warrensburg, Mo., where friends said she described herself as alternately Middle Eastern, Jewish or Eastern European. Known then by her given last name of Mayerhofer, Luna sported designer clothing and expressed support for then-President Barack Obama.

Luna declined to comment to the Post.

Congresswoman Assaulted In DC Elevator

Rep. Angie Craig (D-MN) (Bill Clark/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

A man has been arrested for the alleged assault Thursday of Rep. Angie Craig (D-MN) in the elevator of her DC apartment building. Craig threw hot coffee on her assailant and was able to get away without serious injuries. The attack is not believed to be politically motivated.

2024 Ephemera

Jason Miller is stepping down as CEO of the right-wing social media site GETTR to return to Donald Trump’s side as a senior adviser to his 2024 campaign.

In Case You Missed It

The ex-girlfriend of indicted former FBI official Charlie McGonigal keeps on talking, this time to Insider.

Her account of their year and half together while he was married includes him using a backup iPhone primarily for its encrypted WhatsApp messages and manilla envelopes passed to him by an ex-Russian diplomat who wined and dined them.

Lots of intriguing details but still so many more questions than answer about McDonigal.

Florida Won’t Quiz High School Athletes On Their Periods

After a national outcry, the Florida high school athletic association is dropping its requirement that athletes provide information on their menstrual cycles:

The four questions at the center of the controversy asked whether the student had a menstrual period, and if so, how recent it was. The form also asked “how old were you when you had your first menstrual period?” and “how many periods have you had in the past twelve months?”

The not-so-thinly veiled targeting of transgendered students, comes after Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) signed a 2021 bill outlawing transgender women and girls from competing in women’s sports.

Death Toll Tops 20,000 In Turkey Earthquake

The human toll is staggering. The manmade environment is wrecked. The natural environment is showing incredible scars:

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How The Fake Electors Scheme Explains Everything About Trump’s Attempt To Steal The 2020 Election

Here’s a new way of thinking about the effort to overturn the 2020 election. 

Instead of a series of disconnected, disparate schemes all aimed at the same goal, the fake electors plot provides a lens through which to view the entire effort, giving Trump’s 2020 plans a coherence, with each piece fitting neatly together. Now, two years after the violence of Jan. 6, this fresh look at the scheme reinforces how efforts to spread conspiracy theories, subvert the DOJ, weaponize state legislatures, summon an angry mob and, ultimately, pressure the vice president on Jan. 6 were all part of the same plot, with fake electors at the center. 

Continue reading “How The Fake Electors Scheme Explains Everything About Trump’s Attempt To Steal The 2020 Election”

Election Misinfo on Key Podcasts Rose by Over 600% In The Days Before Jan. 6 Insurrection, Study Finds

A new study examines the huge amount of misinformation being disseminated by a small but popular group of political podcasts. In particular, researchers found that claims of election fraud rose by over 600% in the days leading up to the Capitol insurrection, with the increase concentrated, unsurprisingly, among conservative media.

The study, conducted by the Brookings Institution, analyzed 36,603 episodes from 79 different podcast series in order to determine podcasting’s effect on public discourse.

What researchers found was that nearly 70% of the podcasts they examined shared at least one unsubstantiated or false claim, as did at least one out of 20 episodes—1,863 episodes total—recorded by prominent hosts.

Due in part to his prodigious output, the researchers found that Steve Bannon was the worst offender, blasting out dozens of episodes a week. 

“Bannon’s War Room, which produced both a high number of episodes and shared the most unsubstantiated or false claims in the dataset, topped the list, with close to 20% of all episodes assessed during this period including claims that Snopes and Politifact fact-checkers or the terms dictionary flagged as false or unsubstantiated,” the researchers noted.

They also found that just ten podcasts contributed more than 60% of the unsubstantiated and false claims about politics and public health in their research, and conservative hosts were 11 times more likely than liberals to share such information. 

The Big Lie held a significant place within this trend: “After voters cast their ballots, podcast hosts and guests regularly promoted the lie that the election had been stolen from Trump, relying on debunked evidence, hearsay, and blatant conspiracy tropes to bolster their claims,” the researchers’ report on their findings reads.

Social media platforms like YouTube, Facebook and Twitter faced increased scrutiny for the role they played spreading misinformation leading up to the attack. “At the time,” the study notes, “podcasts barely registered as a concern.”

Researchers examined 3,916 podcast episodes that aired between the political party conventions of 2020 and the Capitol insurrection, finding that one out of every seven episodes featured unverified information.

Right-wing shows had an outsized presence in their sample. This imbalance was “not a deliberate choice,” the study says, “but rather a function of how popular these series are across the medium and how likely Apple is to recommend them.”

For example, Bannon’s “War Room,” currently one of the top-ranked “news” series on Apple Podcasts, publishes up to four episodes a day, up to six days a week. Liberal shows like Pod Save America, meanwhile, publish new content about twice a week.

Among 79 popular political shows the researchers looked at, thirteen of them have produced over 1,000 episodes, and all but two of them were conservative.

Election fraud claims rose by 600%, from 3% of all episodes between August and November 2020, to more than 28% of all episodes between Nov. 3, 2020 and Jan. 6, 2021. And 29 out of 79 shows shared at least one misleading election claim, while nine shows shared 25 or more or devoted more than half of the episode to election misinformation.

Can We Be Ready #3

I’ve continued to read up on research into pandemic risks from strains of Avian Flu. I shared TC‘s note in which he argues that the barriers to bird-bound avian flu migrating to contagion among humans are greater than some press reports suggest. But those chances are not nil and they may be growing.

I had two follow up points I wanted to share.

The first is minks. Minks are a problem. A lot of the recent reporting has focused on a avian flu outbreak at a mink farm in Spain. The study behind those reports is published here. It’s somewhat technical but you can still glean a lot from it even if you don’t have any technical background in the relevant science. The group that studied the outbreak concluded that it was likely that the outbreak involved the virus spreading among the minks. So they were contagious to each other. It spread within the population. That’s obviously not good.

They’re not sure though.

Continue reading “Can We Be Ready #3”

James O’Keefe On Paid Leave As Project Veritas Board Meets To Consider His Future

The rightwing provocateur James O’Keefe may face the music tomorrow. 

O’Keefe, who founded and is synonymous with the conservative media outfit Project Veritas, was put on a paid leave while its board of directors is set to meet on Friday to consider his employment status, New York Magazine first reported.

Continue reading “James O’Keefe On Paid Leave As Project Veritas Board Meets To Consider His Future”

House Republicans Weaponize Themselves With New Committee On Government Weaponization

Rep. Scott Perry (R-PA) had a question this past weekend.

Why should he be prevented from investigating a criminal investigation into him, using the power that he has in Congress?

Continue reading “House Republicans Weaponize Themselves With New Committee On Government Weaponization”

Jim Jordan’s Circus Comes To Town

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.

Don’t Be Fooled!

The House GOP’s hilarious-if-it-weren’t-so-corrupt subcommittee to attack the same federal law enforcement apparatus investigating many House Republicans and Donald Trump kicks off its first hearing today. It’ll be a doozy. It’s titled “Hearing on the Weaponization of the Federal Government.”

This is a full-frontal attack on the rule of law masquerading as a probative investigation. Period. End of sentence.

The witness list includes:

PANEL I:

  • U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley, Iowa
  • U.S. Senator Ron Johnson, Wisconsin
  • U.S. Representative Jamie Raskin, Maryland
  • Former U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard, Hawaii

PANEL II:

  • Mr. Thomas Baker, Former FBI Agent
  • Professor Jonathan Turley, George Washington University Law Center
  • Mr. Elliot Williams, Principal, the Raben Group
  • Ms. Nicole Parker, Former FBI Agent

You’ll see a lot of news coverage of this hearing that will serve to amplify and legitimize it. House Republicans could run the Barnum & Bailey Circus into a Capitol Hill hearing room and political reporters would still cover it as a hearing because … it’s in a hearing room duh what are you, stupid?

Just remember, the Justice Department under Donald Trump was more politicized (the extent of which we’re still learning!) than at any time since Watergate. And the Trump play, adopted in full by the House GOP, is to accuse your opponents of exactly the wrongdoing you’re committing. It’s an obvious and easy-to-follow playbook. Don’t be fooled.

House GOP Stunt Backfires

Yesterday’s much-hyped House oversight committee hearing targeting Twitter didn’t always go as planned. It turns out the Trump White House did the very thing that conservatives have loudly claimed (without much evidence) that the Deep State did: pressured Twitter to censor unfavorable content. In one notable example, the Trump White House tried to get Twitter to take down this 2019 Chrissy Teigen tweet about Trump:

Jack Smith’s Team Questioned Chad Wolf

Chad Wolf, who served as Trump’s acting homeland security secretary, spent four hours under questioning by Special Counsel Jack Smith’s team investigating the 2020 election subversion scheme, Bloomberg reports:

Wolf sat for a four-hour recorded discussion under oath a few weeks ago with several FBI agents and Justice Department lawyers rather than appear before a federal grand jury, said the person, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss an ongoing investigation.

Michael Cohen Meets With Manhattan Prosecutors

His mixed role as witness and cheerleader for the Manhattan DA’s investigation into the Stormy Daniels’ hush money payments makes Michael Cohen a less-than-reliable narrator (not to mention that he served as Donald Trump’s fixer for years!). But if you’re closely following DA Alvin Braggs’ revived investigation, it should be noted that Cohen met with prosectors for the 15th time yesterday and said a 16th meeting is planned.

Fetterman Hospitalized Overnight In DC

Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA), who suffered a stroke last year during his Senate campaign, was hospitalized overnight in DC after feeling light-headed. His staff drove him to the hospital and reported that initial indications are he did not suffer another stroke.

Biden Takes It To Republicans On Social Security

Fresh off his ad-libbed State of the Union attacks on congressional Republicans for wanting to eliminate Social Security, President Biden heads to Tampa for an event focused on Social Security and Medicaid.

Wednesday, Biden was in Wisconsin, hammering by name Republicans who have touted eliminating or severely reigning in Social Security: Sens. Ron Johnson (R-WI), Mike Lee (R-UT), and Rick Scott (R-FL).

The press coverage of Social Security still suffers from a lack of familiarity with how the program works. Many reporters are also bamboozled by Republican word games around Social Security “reform.” They feel perfectly comfortable saying Republicans oppose abortion, but they retreat to “Democrats claim Republicans oppose Social Security” because the GOP has disguised its intentions. But dismantling Social Security and Medicare has been an animating Republican policy position for at least as long as its well-documented opposition to abortion rights. Just say it.

Nationwide Ban On Abortion Pill Could Come Soon

The renegade federal judge in Amarillo, Texas, who is a favorite venue for conservatives will soon be poised to issue a ruling on mifepristone:

Eighteen states already have restrictions on the pills, many of them as part of near-total bans on abortion. But a ruling from Kacsmaryk — an appointee of former President Donald Trump — could either cut off access to the drugs in the mostly Democratic-led states where they remain legal or reinstate rules mandating that patients only be able to receive them in-person from a physician. Kacsmaryk previously worked for a conservative group, First Liberty Institute, that brought cases aimed at restricting abortion access.

Project Veritas Reportedly Puts James O’Keefe On Paid Leave

James O’Keefe, in one of his video stunts

The board of Project Veritas is set to meet Friday to consider the future of right-wing provocateur James O’Keefe with the organization, NY Mag reports. O’Keefe is reportedly on paid leave, but the organization wouldn’t confirm details of his employment status.

The writing on the wall: The board has apparently reinstated two executives whom O’Keefe recently fired.

Project Veritas is under federal investigation for its role in the Ashley Biden diary scheme, and laid off part of its staff just before Christmas.

Biden Addresses Classified Documents Investigation

In an interview with PBS’ Judy Woodruff, President Biden tiptoed a bit further into describing how he wound up with classified documents in his personal possession:

What was not done well is, as they packed up my offices to move them, they didn’t do the kind of job that should’ve been done, to go thoroughly through every piece of literature that’s there.

Also:

The best of my knowledge, the kind of things they [investigators] picked up are things that — from 1974, stray papers. There may be something else, I don’t know.

Hunter Biden Goes On The Offensive

The new more aggressive posture from Hunter Biden that I mentioned last week is taking on more concrete shape:

Washington attorney Abbe Lowell, who took over as Biden’s counsel in December, sent the “litigation hold” letters on Wednesday to 14 people allegedly linked to efforts to generate coverage critical of the 53-year-old son of President Joe Biden, according to a person familiar with the development.

Reporter Arrested While Covering DeWine Press Conference

DC-based Evan Lambert of News Nation was in Ohio covering a train derailment when he was arrested while doing a live hit from the back of a press conference being given by Gov. Mike DeWine (R).

Biden Being Biden

Reporter Jennifer Bendery carefully watched President Biden’s slow exit from the House chamber after the State of the Union, as a he worked the room and the room worked him. (This is the benign flipside to Biden’s sometimes cringey creepster tendencies.) It’s old-school politicking, glad-handing, schmoozing, and story-telling that you just don’t see much of anymore. Biden’s bipartisan aspirations often don’t fit the needs of the current moment, but they’re a reminder of a role politics can play in bridging divides, softening differences, and marshaling collective effort – at least when one of the major political parties isn’t trying to burn it all down.

Biden’s post-speech amble out of the House chamber starts here:

Correction

The Project Veritas board meeting is Friday, not today. The error was mine.

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We Haven’t Dodged The Independent State Legislature Theory Bullet

A recent decision by the North Carolina Supreme Court suddenly put one of the U.S. Supreme Court’s biggest cases of this term on shaky ground. 

Continue reading “We Haven’t Dodged The Independent State Legislature Theory Bullet”

Where Things Stand: Abbott Follows In DeSantis’ 2024 Messaging Wake

It’s been clear for some time that Florida Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis is using his constituents as pawns and his gubernatorial powers as props to prep his national image for a 2024 bid.

While each of his various policy proposals and attacks on public education, people of color, the LGBTQ community, immigrants, the media, etc. have been projected as the hardline governor’s humble war on woke-ism in his state, he knows quite well how to appeal to the MAGA crowd. And he’s been using his tenure as governor to boost his national relevance ahead of what is shaping up to be a nasty GOP primary.

And Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is following his lead.

Continue reading “Where Things Stand: Abbott Follows In DeSantis’ 2024 Messaging Wake”