NH’s Senate Race Is All About Souring On Obama

Scott Brown, a former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts, speaks to supporters after winning New Hampshire's Republican U.S. Senate primary on Tuesday Sept. 9, 2014 in Concord, N.H. Brown will face incumbent Democrat Je... Scott Brown, a former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts, speaks to supporters after winning New Hampshire's Republican U.S. Senate primary on Tuesday Sept. 9, 2014 in Concord, N.H. Brown will face incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen in the general election in November. (AP Photo/Jim Cole) MORE LESS
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

PORTSMOUTH, N.H. (AP) — The last thing Nancy Vawter expected when she went online with her 22-month-old granddaughter to watch the musician Raffi sing “Wheels on the Bus” was an ad for Scott Brown, the Republican challenging Sen. Jeanne Shaheen in New Hampshire.

“Politics has no business being anywhere around children,” the Portsmouth resident said later, recalling her reaction.

But parents vote, and grandparents, too. And as a result, the ad wars have invaded even the feel-silly online world of children entertainers in one of several close races that will determine whether Republicans win a Senate majority.

If the New Hampshire race is like others in some respects, it is unique in at least one.

Brown, 55, moved to the state to run. The race is his third for the Senate in five years, following a pair of contests next door in Massachusetts in 2010 and 2012 in which he first won, then lost, the seat once held by the late Democratic Sen. Edward M. Kennedy.

Shaheen, 67, is a known political commodity in New Hampshire, elected to the Legislature, then three terms as governor as well as one in the Senate. She also lost a race for the Senate in the strong Republican year of 2002 to John Sununu, then defeated him in 2008 when President Barack Obama won the state.

“She’s won in a wave and lost in a wave,” says former Rep. Frank Guinta, a Republican running for his former seat. “I think she’s as susceptible as anyone is.”

That view — that even a well-established politician can lose if enough voters sour on Obama after six years — explains Brown’s presence in the race, the close polls and the torrent of television commercials by both political parties and their allies.

Very few are testimonials to Brown, like the one the U.S. Chamber of Commerce posted featuring former presidential nominee Mitt Romney as an introduction to the Raffi video.

Others are scathing, including some aired by Ending Spending, a conservative organization that has spent about $2 million attacking Shaheen on television since late August.

The League of Conservation Voters, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and the Senate Majority PAC, which is run by allies of Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., have come to her aid, often with ads attacking Brown.

Like challengers in other races, Brown runs hard against the current occupant of the White House, who is plagued with low approval ratings. Shaheen votes “99 percent of the time with President Obama,” he says frequently. “Do you know how much she actually votes for you? Zero,” he told one audience.

Shaheen’s rebuttal is simple.

“No matter where Scott Brown lives, he’s going to put Scott Brown first. Not you. Not your family. Not New Hampshire,” she told supporters last month after winning nomination to a second term.

Campaigning last week in Nashua at a company that makes prototype metal products, Brown stressed the importance of renewing the state’s economy, easing federal regulations and reducing energy costs. He favors repealing the nation’s health care law, even before any replacement is ready.

He also can equivocate.

Two weeks ago, his office did not respond when asked if he would have voted for legislation that cleared Congress with Shaheen’s support to arm and fund Syrian rebels fighting Islamic State militants.

Asked as he campaigned about sending U.S. combat troops to the region to fight, he ducked again. “It’s really up to the generals on the ground,” he said, although the United States has none in Syria. Having left open the possibility of deploying combat troops, he said, “I’m not advocating that.”

One employee of the metal company, Becky Landry, 49, generally votes Republican. “He’s got my vote. I just believe in what he says,” she said, voicing a concern felt by many in an age of dissatisfaction with political figures.

Shaheen won’t get Landry’s vote.

But she hopes her ticket back to the Senate will be punched by other women in a state that has no men in its four-member congressional delegation.

Campaigning recently at a pair of small businesses, one a bookstore and the other an establishment where chairs are re-caned, she stressed the need to make more credit available for companies owned by women.

At both, she criticized Brown for voting for legislation to let employers deny workers health benefits on religious grounds. She also mocked him over reports that he had recently hidden in a restaurant restroom rather than face questions about a Supreme Court ruling on a similar issue.

At New England Porch Rockers in Laconia, two women credited Shaheen with helping their businesses solve problems, and expressed their support. One, Dianna Guida Hosmer, said she is a Republican but that Brown is “not my kind of Republican. He voted for every crazy and extreme Republican amendment put before him.”

Copyright 2014 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Latest News
17
Show Comments

Notable Replies

  1. Poor “individualist” New Hampshire, still lapping up Massachusetts’ sloppy seconds.

    If you’re dumb enough to take him, the quarter-termer is all yours. And for SIX years.

  2. Why is TPM running this ludicrously propagandistic AP story? It refers to the “close polls.” The polling average shows a clear and consistent lead for Shaheen. If the race is “all about souring on Obama,” why isn’t Brown leading easily?

    The answer is: the article frames the race the way Brown WANTS to frame it – so that he himself is irrelevant, and it’s all about the supposed “national climate.” Again, if this is actually the whole story of the race, why is Brown behind? And why does the AP Brown-hyping have to resort to vague references to “close polls,” rather than citing actual polls (maybe because the great majority don’t back up their narrative)?

    The “expert” cited, meanwhile, to say that Obama-hatred is dooming Shaheen? GOP congressman Guinta! Now there’s unbiased reporting!

  3. One employee of the metal company, Becky Landry, 49, generally votes Republican. “He’s got my vote. I just believe in what he says,” she said, voicing a concern felt by many in an age of dissatisfaction with political figures.

    Shaheen won’t get Landry’s vote.

    Goddam, Sherlock, ya think?

    Jesus wept, this is why I hate AP with a passion. This, this bullshit right here, is the whole reason in a nutshell why I hate AP. There’s the narrative and there’s the pounding all the round pegs into the square hole of the narrative because, really, the story was written before you went out and tried to report it and all you need to do is put some color into it.

    Becky Landry, who “usually” votes Republican is voting for the Republican because people who “usually” vote Republican are Republicans. Her vote for Brown has nothing to do with your “country souring on Obama after six years” narrative bullshit. This woman almost certainly voted against him and Sheehan in 2008, voted Republican in 2010, voted for Romney in 2012 and now she’s voting for Brown, not because she’s “soured on Obama,” but because she’s a fucking Republican and that’s what Republicans do.

    If you want to convince me the election is about “souring on Obama,” either quote me some actual goddamned polling data, or, if you must do the “person in the street” anecdotal bullshit thing, find a goddamned voter who voted for Obama and/or Sheehan in 2010 who’s leaning toward Brown in this one. But going to a Republican voter for confirmation that “voters” are souring on Obama is just fucking retarded.

  4. The AP, as an institution, suckles at the Republican teat on a daily basis.

  5. Brown is trying the same tactic that both McConnell and Brownback are trying: make his Senate race a referendum on Obama, not the issues, because they have no issues to run on. Another problem is, they are not running against Obama, but their opponent.

    It's not working.  Grimes is leading by 2 points, Brownback is down about 5 points, and Brown is down about 10 points. I wish Grimes was leading by double digits. She should be, but the referendum is about the GOP, not Obama.
    

    Or at least that’s what citizens tell me at events I have attention to register new voters .

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

11 more replies

Participants

Avatar for system1 Avatar for pbw Avatar for ncsteve Avatar for rationalleft Avatar for mymy Avatar for leftflank Avatar for cwazycajun Avatar for losamigos Avatar for harposnarx Avatar for maxi2013 Avatar for cpinva Avatar for tdohio Avatar for snarkus_aurelius Avatar for ewparris Avatar for thunderclapnewman

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: