New Gov’t Document: COVID Deaths Projected To Increase To 3,000 Per Day By June 1

NEW YORK, USA - APRIL 14: A drone photo shows that new container morgues are being prepared for the new type of coronavirus (COVID-19) victims to be delivered to hospitals in New York City, United States on April 14,... NEW YORK, USA - APRIL 14: A drone photo shows that new container morgues are being prepared for the new type of coronavirus (COVID-19) victims to be delivered to hospitals in New York City, United States on April 14, 2020. (Photo by Lokman Vural Elibol/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images) MORE LESS
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

The Trump administration anticipates that more than 3,000 Americans will be dying each day of COVID-19 by June 1, according to a newly revealed internal government document obtained by the New York Times.

The Times obtained an internal Centers for Disease Control document providing detailed projections on the progression of the COVID-19 pandemic around the country. The data goes up to May 2.

The document says that new cases will grow to a rate of around 225,000 per day by June 1, and that deaths will reach around 3,000 per day by the same date.

There are currently around 25,000 new cases each day in the United States, and around 2,000 deaths each day.

The CDC gathered the data and built the models on which the projections are based, the Times reported, while the Federal Emergency Management Agency created the charts.

The report also suggests that infection rates will increase more in rural America over the coming months. The document names “the Great Lakes region, parts of the Southeast, Northeast, and around southern California” as potential new hotspots, while Louisiana and New York City remain on a downwards trajectory in the federal government’s modeling.

“There remains a large number of counties whose burden continues to grow,” the report says.

Separately, the report provides new information from the federal government on COVID-19 death rates in the U.S. Around 16 percent of those hospitalized during a period beginning on March 1 died of COVID-19, per available discharge data.

White House deputy press secretary Judd Deere pushed back against the document, saying that it had not “been presented to the Coronavirus Task Force or gone through interagency vetting. This data is not reflective of any of the modeling done by the task force or data that the task force has analyzed.”

The grim and sobering statistics come as the Trump administration pushes to “reopen” the country, moving to bring federal employees back to work and using the bully pulpit to have local administrators end lockdown policies. Several states around the country, most of which are governed by Republicans, have done so.

Read the document that the New York Times obtained here:

Latest News
384
Show Comments

Notable Replies

  1. “We met the challenge and surpassed all expectations!!”

  2. Oh goody! And all we’ve done is open a few beaches? 3K ain’t squat lets get them nail salons open and bring back the proms.

  3. That’s what I call doing a “great job!”
    MAGA!

  4. Louisiana Democratic Governor John Bel Edwards-- and New Orleans Mayor Latoya Cantrell deserve credit for their steadfast efforts to flatten the curve. When GOPers challenged him, Edwards said, there are four million people in the state and some disagree with me. He recently took flak for extending the stayathome orders until May 15. He said that while New Orleans was doing well, other regions of the state were seeing an uptick. Louisiana stands out nationally and also in comparison to Georgia, Texas, Florida, Alabama and Mississippi. It did matter that we re-elected a Democrat last fall instead of falling for Trump’s goober, Eddie Rispone.

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

378 more replies

Participants

Avatar for kenneth_thomas Avatar for littlegirlblue Avatar for becca656 Avatar for ralph_vonholst Avatar for bonvivant Avatar for donnyyoung Avatar for fiftygigs Avatar for darrtown Avatar for thunderclapnewman Avatar for tena Avatar for jinnj Avatar for tsp Avatar for lizzymom Avatar for castor_troy Avatar for khyber900 Avatar for qwerty23 Avatar for zillacop Avatar for inthesedays Avatar for occamscoin Avatar for txlawyer Avatar for c_stedman Avatar for randome Avatar for emiliano4 Avatar for Hatmama

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: