Frank Luntz, a top pollster for Republicans, asserted on Thursday night that if he and his fellow analysts are wrong yet again about who’ll win the election a la 2016, that blunder could spell doom for his industry.
“Right now the biggest issue is a trust deficit,” Luntz told Fox News hosts Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum. “And pollsters did not do a good job in 2016.”
“So if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden’s got a five or six point lead and then Donald Trump wins, my profession is done. It’s finished,” he continued. “You can make a mistake once, Bret. You cannot make it again.”
FiveThirtyEight currently pegs Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden as the “favored” candidate in the presidential race with an 87 in 100 chance of defeating President Donald Trump, who has a 12 in 100 chance of successfully fending him off. The Guardian’s polling averages largely show Biden leading Trump in key swing states, including Pennsylvania and Michigan, as do that of RealClearPolitics.
Watch Luntz below:
GOP pollster laments how "my profession is done" if pollsters are wrong about who will win the election. pic.twitter.com/EDDIox4FhQ
— TPM Livewire (@TPMLiveWire) October 23, 2020
Doom for his industry? PFFT… It’s DOOM for the country.
Yes, Frankie, your profession - which, I have gathered over a good many years, is being a sycophantic whore for the Republican Party - will be finished, but your bad toupee will live forever!
It would have been interesting if the story had included Luntz’s current polling prognostications.
I mean the actual internal polling, not the fluffed up ones foisted on the deplorable base.
Pollsters did basically fine in 2016, and Frank Luntz beclowns himself and demonstrates his comprehensive lack of understanding of his alleged profession to state otherwise.
538 seems to be pretty good, and I say that because they have made me mad about some of their polling, then turned out to be correct and made me even more mad. So…there’s that.
In the last few cycles with all the new registered voters, cell phones, young people, POC communities that I don’t think get polled, and people lying to pollsters, I don’t see how anyone can get a good read on things. I am not a pollster, I’m sure there are things they do that I am not aware of to get good stats, but I still think it is a near impossible task to get a true good read on what’s happening these days.