Frank Luntz, a top pollster for Republicans, asserted on Thursday night that if he and his fellow analysts are wrong yet again about who’ll win the election a la 2016, that blunder could spell doom for his industry.
“Right now the biggest issue is a trust deficit,” Luntz told Fox News hosts Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum. “And pollsters did not do a good job in 2016.”
“So if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden’s got a five or six point lead and then Donald Trump wins, my profession is done. It’s finished,” he continued. “You can make a mistake once, Bret. You cannot make it again.”
FiveThirtyEight currently pegs Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden as the “favored” candidate in the presidential race with an 87 in 100 chance of defeating President Donald Trump, who has a 12 in 100 chance of successfully fending him off. The Guardian’s polling averages largely show Biden leading Trump in key swing states, including Pennsylvania and Michigan, as do that of RealClearPolitics.
Watch Luntz below:
GOP pollster laments how "my profession is done" if pollsters are wrong about who will win the election. pic.twitter.com/EDDIox4FhQ
— TPM Livewire (@TPMLiveWire) October 23, 2020