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I think everyone can agree that if you go to the trouble of organizing an Iraqi political reconciliation conference, it’s generally a bad sign if a number of key players don’t even show up.

The idea behind the conference pushed by Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki was to have a national “dialogue.”

The largest Sunni bloc, former Prime Minister Ayad Allawi’s party, and a prominent minority party of Shiites and Sunnis all boycotted the conference. No representatives of the insurgency (either Baathist or militia members) were there. Supporters of Shiite cleric Muqtada Sadr walked out of the conference, as did a prominent Sunni tribal leader who’s been key to the so-called “Anbar Awakening.”

Typical of Iraq, the boycotters don’t even concur on their reason for boycotting. The New York Times focuses on pique by some blocs that they didn’t get a proper invitation (Maliki’s people say everybody got an official invitation). The AP reports that one Sunni bloc “said they would not participate in the conference until Shiite lawmakers address their political demands” — so they won’t talk reconciliation until their grievances are reconciled. And then there’s a more direct explanation from that Anbar tribal leader, who’s quoted in The Los Angeles Times (under the headline “A no-reconciliation conference”):

The organizer noted that Sunni tribes, which have revolted against Al Qaeda in Iraq, attended the conference. But one of their main leaders, Sheik Sulaiman, decided to lead his delegation out of the conference.

“I didn’t stay any longer than it took me to smoke my cigarette. It was a total failure, because the Iraqi politicians are a failure,” Sulaiman said.

This is why even Gen. David Petraeus says that “no one” in the U.S. and Iraqi governments “feels that there has been sufficient progress by any means in the area of national reconciliation.”

Happy 5th Anniversary, everybody.

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