Looking Ahead: TPM Poll Average For Florida Shows Romney Up

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney will be campaigning in Florida tomorrow, and his campaign has already been organizing an early voting drive for his supporters. And our latest TPM Poll Average, seen below, show him with a huge lead of more than 22 percent.

But an important caveat with the numbers — Romney was up huge in South Carolina after he had won New Hampshire, and the events on the ground changed the race in just a week’s time. So while Romney starts from a position of strength in the Sunshine State and has the money to dominate the airwaves in a state where media is expensive, the South Carolina win will likely have a big impact.