Editors’ Blog - 2016
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10.24.16 | 1:23 pm
Boom

The retiring Harry Reid tells TPM’s Lauren Fox that he has set the stage for Democrats to nuke the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees if Republicans block Clinton’s nominee(s).

“They mess with the Supreme Court, it’ll be changed just like that in my opinion,” Reid said, snapping his fingers together.

Worth reading.

10.24.16 | 3:13 pm
Like a Bad TV Movie Now

Trump takes a sarcastic dig at adult film star accuser: “I’m sure she’s never been grabbed before.”

10.24.16 | 3:48 pm
We’re in the Universal Derp Implosion

Donald Trump is giving a raging, rambling speech with accusations against everyone and everything. But there’s one thing he flagged that everyone needs to understand the details about.

Here’s what he said …

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10.24.16 | 4:15 pm
Was IBD/TIPP The Most Accurate in 2012? Nope

For days Donald Trump has been banging this gong about being ahead in the IBD/TIPP poll which he says was the most accurate poll in 2012. They’re now claiming it was also the most accurate in 2008 and 2004. This has been driving me a bit nuts since this is unquestionably false. I decided to check my memory. So I went back to look the latest polls in 2012. Here’s what I found.

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10.24.16 | 4:41 pm
Help Us On the Way

Can you spare us a moment? We are now 448 sign ups away from 16,000 Prime members. Can you take the plunge now? Just click here. Thank you so much.

10.24.16 | 6:41 pm
Welp

These are the kinds of stories that bring a smile to my face. Multiple Republican candidates are threatening TV stations with defamation suits over agreeing to run ads linking them to Donald Trump. In other words, candidates say it amounts to defamation to run ads linking them to the presidential nominee of their own party.

10.25.16 | 9:42 am
Conversation w/ TPM longform author Charlotte Fryar, today 1 p.m. EST

Join us in The Hive today as we talk to Charlotte Fryar, the author of TPM’s latest longform on Frank Porter Graham and the unique role N.C. plays in this election. Drop in your questions at or before 1 p.m. EST! Want to participate but don’t have Prime? Sign up here.

10.25.16 | 10:09 am
10/25 Election Update

It’s October 25 and the PollTracker Average stands at Clinton 50.4 percent, Trump 43.3 percent, a 7.1 percentage-point spread

The TPM Electoral Scoreboard stands at Clinton 302, Trump 195. Evan McMullin is leading in Utah, worth six electoral votes. Alaska, Arizona, Nevada and North Carolina are in the Toss Up category.

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10.25.16 | 1:18 pm
Rubes Could Still Go Down

People always second-guess the hard decisions campaign committees make in the final weeks of a campaign. In most cases, they have better information than we on the outside have. But I have to wonder if the DSCC is going to regret pulling out of the Florida Senate race. The current PollTracker Average has Rubio up 4.9 percentage points. But that number is largely on the basis of one GOP poll taken last week. Take that one out and it’s Rubio +2.5.

10.25.16 | 2:00 pm
The Book That Predicted the 2016 Election 14 Years Ago

As I’ve been going back and writing this Trump mini-book I’ve been talking about, I’ve realized the story in many ways starts or at least a part of the identification of the story starts in 2002 with the publication of a book called The Emerging Democratic Majority by John Judis (now TPM Editor-at-Large) and Ruy Teixeira. The book essentially predicted the ascendence of what we now call the Obama coalition. The book itself had something of a cursed history or cursed timing because it came out in the lead up to the 2002 mid-term where Republicans did unexpectedly well. Of course, George W. Bush was reelected two years later. That blunted a lot of the discussion of the book and its argument.

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