After what seems like a clear inflection point around the time of the first presidential debate, Hillary Clinton is edging up toward 50% for the first time in the race. The PollTracker Average currently puts Clinton at 49.2% compared to Trump’s 42.9% – a 6.3 percentage point lead. This is with three new polls out this morning.
Trend chart after the jump.
All your polling questions answered!
If you missed it, Episode #4 of my new podcast is out. In this episode I talk to Professor Charles Franklin, one of the country’s preeminent polling experts about un-skewing, phone v online polls, how not to make yourself get stupid and more. Check it out.
Indiana parade float has Trump executing Clinton by electric chair.
Referring to his late night/early morning rage/tweet storms, Eric Trump says his father’s “energy” can be his “downfall.” Which actually reminds me, shouldn’t we be seeing a lot more “Downfall” videos?
Feral Trumper raises White Supremacist ‘Pepe the Frog’ poster in background as CNN interviews man who played a historic role in the case that became Brown v Board ….
You may think that tonight’s historic face off between Tim Kaine and Mike Pence, two of the more boring politicians in American history, is going to be a snooze. But please, do not be so naive! It will be much cooler than you think. It is true that every Veep debate in this century has included someone who is either crazy (Palin), evil (Cheney) or at least entertaining (Biden). Indeed, in addition to Biden-ness the 2012 Veep debate had significant drama because Democrats were rather desperate for Biden to get them up on their feet after Obama’s deflating showing in 2012’s first presidential debate.
But here’s why Veep debates are still a big deal.
Rudy Giuliani spotted leaving Playhouse Sq at lunchtime. Who’s in the back seat? pic.twitter.com/iwl8ZDmuDl
— Annie Wu (@AnnieWu216) October 4, 2016
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Thanks. I really appreciate.
9:11 PM: Looks like Chris Matthews had this wrong.
9:10 PM: I laugh at Trump mic truthers. But Pence’s mic actually sounds a bit off, echoey.
9:08 PM: Kaine brought a knife I guess.
9:06 PM: Tim Kaine is pretty prepped.
9:02 PM: Chris Matthews is saying that he expects Kaine won’t attack Trump and will focus on playing defense. I really hope that’s not true.
8:46 PM: Debate commentary wisdom will soon be here.
9:27 PM: “You have a voting record, senator … I can’t believe you won’t defend your own voting record.”
9:26 PM: Note that moderator chooses right-leaning group’s numbers to frame Social Security question. Sad!
9:25 PM: Kaine’s really got him on the ropes here.
9:24 PM: “He used the tax code just the way it’s supposed to be used and he did it brilliantly.”
9:22 PM: “You can roll out the numbers.”
9:20 PM: Not sure this Hired, Fired thing is amazingly catchy. In general, I think both are doing fairly well in the eyes of the groups they’re trying to appeal to. Would say some edge to Kaine. But pretty even.
9:15 PM: Ding, ding, ding: Great Work, Bill!
9:14 PM: Gotta say, I did not expect this. I think it’s a little choppy for both candidates. But this is pretty intense as any presidential or vice presidential debates go.
9:13 PM: Feisty.