Let me stipulate to all the caveats right up front, put them behind me and then jump right in.
It’s quite possible that Barack Obama will be reelected president in two months with more or less the same the number of states he won in 2008. A plausible outcome (remember the caveats) would the the 2008 states minus Indiana and North Carolina. Without Indiana would be 354 electoral votes. Without North Carolina too would be 339. Read More
The Arizona Birtherpalooza originally scheduled for later this month has been canceled. Nick Martin explains why.
From TPM Reader LS …
I’m going to take a localized view, a Midland, Michigan view. I’m seeing everyday people questioning the lurch to the right by the Republican party. Governor Rick Snyder, not perfect, still too conservative for me, is looking better and better these days. His brand of Republicanism is much more attractive than straight Tea Party. He keeps talking about how to improve Detroit. He’s opposing crony capitalism in the form of promoting a new bridge connecting Detroit and Windsor. And as you reported, he refused to sign the most recent voter restriction law. (Michigan already had mandatory ID at the polls.) I’m seeing a split in the Republican party, between the scorched-earth types and the more constructive ones. At least in Michigan, the constructive ones seem to be gaining momentum.
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Rarely do I watch Joe Biden give a speech or an interview without looking for some evidence, in his eyes or the lines of his face, of the fact that he lost half of his young family when he was 30 years old. It is inconceivable to me, always has been, but especially in the years since I became a father. For all his goofballism, Biden has gone through a crucible that I cannot imagine. And he did so when he was 30, an adult, already deeply invested in the life he was building. Read More
PollTracker editor Kyle Leighton looks at the boost in President Obama’s poll numbers since the DNC, compared to the stall for Mitt Romney: