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We’re a few minutes away from the first results from the Missouri primary. We’ll have live county by county results here.
This is, to put it mildly, a weird contest. First, it’s non-binding. No delegates are actually at stake. Second, Newt Gingrich did not manage to get on the ballot. So it’s Romney, Santorum and Paul.
There’s been very little polling of this contest. But the latest poll out this morning shows Rick Santorum with a double digit lead over Romney. Add anecdotal reports of light turnout. And that makes it even more unpredictable.
8:31 PM: We’ve got a tiny trickle of results in from both Missouri and Minnesota. And they show Rick Santorum ahead in both states. But at again, at or 1%. So just the first hints. Nothing more.
9:02 PM: So in case you’re wondering why a bunch of votes just seemed to disappear in Missouri, the AP adjusted their numbers down. A bit weird. But it’s something that happens. Not something to read anything into.
As they say, we’re still really, really early. But we have 12% reporting in Missouri and Santorum is up over Romney by over 24 points. That’s a big spread even with so few results. It’s a similar margin in Minnesota, albeit with a meager 3%. If Romney loses 2 of 3 of these contests, what’s the headline tomorrow morning?