Same polling organization as the Gallup daily tracking poll. And I think the same methodology. But I believe these non-tracking polls sponsored by USAToday are an entirely distinct sample from the ones that make up their daily track.
Late Update: CBS also has another poll out tonight: Obama 54%, McCain 41%. That’s the same spread as the one they released yesterday.
It’s been a long time since we put out this kind of information. But with all the buzz about how much interest there is in this election and the interest in new media, I thought people might be interested in in the amount of traffic TPM had in October.
Absolute Unique Visitors: 3.12 million
Visits: 15.29 million
Page Views: 30.99 million.
We’ve just gotten a flurry of emails letting us know that GOP Trust PAC’s Rev. Wright attack ad just ran on NBC on Sunday Night Football. From the range of states people are reporting seeing it, it seems clearly to have been a national buy.
We already knew this was going to be a big national buy. But this showing seemed to get a lot of people’s attention.
The last rounds of polling in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania are in from Public Policy Polling and Quinnipiac: Obama ahead in all three states. The numbers and the rest of the day’s political news in the TPM Election Central Morning Roundup.
We are , as they say, down to the wire. If history is any guide, we should see more polls released today than any other day this year or perhaps in the last four years. The value of polls at this point — other than to feed your obsession — may be questionable. But whatever their value we’ve got them all; and we’re posting them in real time.
The best way to see what’s been released today is to look at our interactive map which we’ve now moved from our front page to the TPM Poll Tracker page. If you want to keep looking through the day you can also look at the TPM Poll Tracker page, where the polls are also listed beneath the map in order as they’re entered.
Late Update: One more point on polls. We’ve put a great deal of effort into making TPM the place for polls. And I think we can say that when it comes to reporting new polling data, TPM is as fast and in most cases faster than anywhere else on the web. But I would remiss if I didn’t say that when I’m looking for expert analysis of the polls themselves I go to pollster.com and fivethirtyeight.com.
Still more sludge from the Republican Jewish Coalition — the folks who’ve been putting out mailers saying that an Obama election could be like Hitler coming to power in Germany. Now they’re out in Ohio with this new mailer.
The final SurveyUSA poll of Missouri. Dead even: Obama 48%, McCain 48%.
Late Update: Final SUSA Ohio: Obama 48%, McCain 46%. From the poll release: “In Ohio, Early Voters May Give Obama Enough Running Head Start That McCain Can’t Catch Him on Election Day: Barack Obama 48%, John McCain 46%, in SurveyUSA’s final tracking poll released Election Eve. Obama leads 5:3 among those who have already voted. McCain leads 5:4 among those who have not yet voted. Obama led in the past 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls, but by tapering margins. Obama led by 5 on 10/14/08, by 4 on 10/28/08 and by 2 today. It is possible that McCain could overtake Obama in the final 24 hours, but that would require young voters to stay home on Election Day and white voters from Dayton, Cincinnati and along the West Virginia border to show up in larger numbers than they have so far indicated.”