The AP ran a poll story yesterday painting a pretty dark picture for the Democrats based on big defections among Obama voters. A number of readers noted that the piece seemed a little misleading since the poll actually showed the roughly the same amount of Obama voters were defecting from Dems as McCain voters were bailing on Republicans (obviously the absolute number of Obama voters was greater — but then again no one is expecting the Dems to kick the GOP’s butts in two weeks.)
But now they’ve released the Congressional Generic ballot number. And it actually has the Dems up by 5 points.
Now, that number is way off the average of other recent congressional generics. And it was taken more than ten days ago. So I don’t think there’s much to read into this one particular poll. But what the AP drew out of it seems pretty odd in its proper context.