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Republicans Assumed the Midterms were a Mere Formality

WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 19: (R-L) Sen. John Barrasso (R-WY), Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and Senate Minority Whip Sen. John Thune (R-SD) walk to address reporters following a weekly Republican poli... WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 19: (R-L) Sen. John Barrasso (R-WY), Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and Senate Minority Whip Sen. John Thune (R-SD) walk to address reporters following a weekly Republican policy luncheon at the U.S. Capitol on October 19, 2021 in Washington, DC. Members of the Senate Republican leadership spoke on a range of topics including inflation, the 2022 midterm elections, and the Internal Revenue Service. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images) MORE LESS
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August 18, 2022 3:15 p.m.

TPM Reader BB has his own take on JD Vance’s struggles in Ohio …

I am not the long-time resident of Ohio that RJ is, but I live outside of Cincinnati, and one thing that has been striking to me (and might explain the Senate Leadership Fund ad buy) is the degree to which Vance just disappeared from the airwaves after the primary. I have seen constant ads from Tim Ryan, both talking about himself (working class Ohioan, agreed with Trump on trade, not about parties… basically what you would expect from a smart Democrat trying to win in Ohio) and bashing on Vance (elite snobbish fake from San Francisco, does not care about Ohioans just his political career, etc.). Only within the last couple of weeks have I seen a single TV ad from Vance, basically his wife talking about what a nice guy he is and how she hopes Ohio will give him a chance, which is invariably followed by several Ryan ads with cops and military vets talking about how much Vance sucks. It has just been a remarkably one-sided affair. I assume that at least part of the problem is a lack of money on Vance’s part, though it is odd that I have not seen ads from outside groups, either. Maybe overconfidence on their part?

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