It Looks Like Dems Hold Nevada

In this May 31, 2016, photo, U.S. Senate candidate Catherine Cortez Masto votes at an early voting site in Las Vegas. A battle royal is shaping up in Nevada over the open Senate seat created by the retirement of Mino... In this May 31, 2016, photo, U.S. Senate candidate Catherine Cortez Masto votes at an early voting site in Las Vegas. A battle royal is shaping up in Nevada over the open Senate seat created by the retirement of Minority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada. (AP Photo/John Locher) MORE LESS
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This has seemed more plausible over the course of the day. But events this evening make it seem like Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) very much has the inside track to claim reelection in Nevada. Not quite a lock. But getting close. Cortez Masto is currently still behind by about 16,000 votes, though she made up significant ground today. The key is that there are likely 100,000 or more votes outstanding. Those are overwhelmingly mail votes from the two big urban counties, a bucket of votes Cortez Masto has been winning by a two-thirds margin. If those vote totals are roughly accurate and something in the neighborhood of that percentage holds up she should cut right through Laxalt’s lead in the next few days.

It’s not a certainty but it’s getting close.

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