The only clear trend we’re seeing tonight, early but seems widespread, is Trump outperforming his numbers in rural counties compared to 2020. What Dems will need is a counter-trend in suburban counties. We would expect that counter-trend. But we haven’t seen it yet or haven’t seen it clearly yet because we have very few suburban counties that are done counting. A lot of these rural counties just count much faster. It seems like we’re likely to see red areas getting redder, blue areas bluer, etc.
LATEST
Morning Memo
Shutdown Deal Lets GOP Senators Personally Sue Over Jack Smith Probe
11.11.25 | 10:38 am
TPM 25
There Are No Weird Blogs Anymore Cause It’s More Fruitful to Drive Them Out of Business
11.11.25 | 9:00 am
News
Only a Fraction of Republicans’ Much-Touted $50 Billion Rural Health Fund Can Help Struggling Hospitals Pay Their Bills
11.11.25 | 8:07 am
Where Things Stand
DOJ Throws Weight Behind 2020 Conspiracy Theories
11.10.25 | 5:35 pm