I got this fascinating report from TPM Reader EK about the situation in Arizona’s 2nd district …
I wanted to share a closer look at one House race to get some insight into where Nate may be off.
FiveThirtyEight shows Walt Blackman with an 84% chance of winning over incumbent Tom O’Halleran in Arizona’s new 2nd Congressional District.
First, the Republican primary is in disarray. Blackman has proposed murder charges for women who get abortions. Trump came to Arizona to endorse Ed Crane, who has very few ties to Arizona. Trump was actually booed by the audience because they want Ron Watkins, who had a key role in forming Q Anon.
Attached is a flyer Crane supporters mailed to Republicans attacking Blackman for the Aug. 2 primary.