Dick Morris now sees possible bumps on the way to the 400+ EV Romney landslide.
TPM 2012 campaign reporter Evan McMorris-Santoro is holding a Live Chat right now about all things campaign 2012. Get your questions in now.
Today’s brand spanking new poll charts in all the big races across the country. Check ’em.
TPM Electoral Scoreboard: Obama 285, Romney 191.
Toss-up states: Ohio, North Carolina, Florida.
Probably the best argument for a Romney victory next Tuesday is the so-called “incumbent rule” — under which undecided voters will break disproportionately for the challenger in a close election. Mark Blumenthal at our friendly competitor Pollster has a good run down of the recent poli sci and statistical evidence showing that the rule doesn’t apply much anymore at the presidential level. Read More
Let me start this post by stipulating that I am one of those only minorly inconvenienced by Hurricane Sandy. Family is safe. No property destroyed. Really the entirety of it for me is that my apartment and office have been without electricity since Monday evening. A pretty big hassle in the context of workaday life but trivial in comparison to what people are dealing with in the flooded parts of New York City and New Jersey. Read More
Some of the most harrowing tales out of post-Sandy New York come from the big hospitals that first lost power then lost their backup generators, forcing the evacuation of hundreds of patients. Photos of that struggle.
The White House releases its closing argument in an infographic … Read More
Pay close attention to this, because it speaks directly to how Congressional Republicans’ destructive legislative strategy in 2011 and Mitt Romney’s last minute shuffle to the center are actually a singular strategy.
Mitt Romney’s final pitch to voters is that an Obama victory assures another debt limit standoff — eliding, for obvious reasons, that the debt limit standoff in 2011 was a Republican contrivance, and a debt limit standoff in 2013 will be a Republican contrivance as well. Elect him, he says, and the crisis won’t happen.
On the surface that seems tragically plausible. Read More
Among these many remarkable stats about Sandy, the fact that the second highest wave height associated with the storm — 32.5 feet — was recorded right outside New York Harbor is the hardest to fathom.