Some tantalizing numbers here for Obama supporters. But I need to stress the point that initial exit poll numbers are notoriously inaccurate. They’re all over the place. Just going to have to wait. Really. Put not ye faith in early exits.

Late Update: On the other hand, Dick Durbin says the exits are lookin’ pretty sweet. But seriously, take my word for it.

Ummm … Initial exit polls suggest Virginia voters forgot to unskew their party ID before going to the polls today.

Watch the results come in right here.

As you’ve probably seen already the topline exit poll numbers for a number of state have now been leaked. Virginia’s (tie) is now public. I’d made a decision that we weren’t going to publish leaked exits. But now that they’re out sort of no point not discussing them. The gist is that the first round exit polls show most of the key swing states at about exactly where the poll averages were. Ours, Pollster, 538, etc.

I’d really, really stress (and I doubt I need to say this to anyone who remembers 2004) these are preliminary numbers. They can and they will change. That said though the first wave of numbers show the swing state poll averages were really close to the mark.

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CNN has the Empire State Building all decked out to declare the winner. Red, white and blue while the contest is in doubt. All red if Romney wins; all blue if Obama prevails.

Gonna start here by saying all early exit polls are highly preliminary. Not just the toplines but the demographic and issue questions. So expect these to change. But those early numbers out now point to an electorate that looks like the 2008 electorate in terms of age breakdown, racial breakdown and so forth. The numbers themselves are preliminary and those just give us hints about final results. But this has been one of the big debates of the cycle. Are we looking at a 2004 electorate? 2008? 2010? These extremely preliminary hints point to a 2008 electorate.

One interesting, though not surprising difference, these early numbers say Hispanics have gone from 9% to 10% of the voting electorate.

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So the first polls in Indiana and Kentucky close at 6 P.M Eastern. The real action starts at 7 PM when the first polls close in Virginia and Florida and several other states. Here are all the closing times. We’ll be here with you all night with every detail.

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