Gotta say: Do not see how Mitt Romney wins Florida. Don’t pay attention to me until some network calls it. But just mathematically, it’s hard to see.
And if Romney loses Florida, it’s definitely over.
There’s still a long way to go this evening, but the Senate results so far could not have lined up any better for Democrats. Already they’ve picked up three Republican seats: Lugar’s in Indiana, Brown’s in Massachusetts, and Snowe’s in Maine.
So Republicans need to flip three Democratic seats just to keep things even. Then they need another three to erase the existing Democratic advantage (and even then they’re only tied — unless there’s a Vice President Ryan).
It’s not mathematically impossible to find six seats left on the map tonight, but it’s practically very, very difficult. And Claire McCaskill just held on to her seat in Missouri …
Most people figured that Virginia goes Obama and Florida goes Romney. At the moment though the opposite looks like the most likely result. Again, I’m not one of those total numbers geeks but, man, I just don’t see how Romney pulls Florida out. Virginia could definitely still go either way. But it’s actually looking pretty strong for Romney.
But again, Romney absolutely must win both to win.
Mitt Romney’s path to 270 is getting really constricted now. Our map follows AP data. So not all of these are called yet by AP. But Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire and Pennsylvania have all been called by some or all networks. That covers the big hail mary reaches for Romney. Read More
For every new nugget of information and call go right to TPMLiveWire.
We’re trying to figure out just whose error it was. But AP has NOT called Wisconsin for Baldwin. We’ll give you more information once we have it.
AP calls Wisconsin Senate for Tammy Baldwin. She’ll be the first gay woman (or person for that matter) elected to the Senate.
I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention that if Elizabeth Warren, if she wins, will be the first former TPM Blogger elected to the Senate.
Warren’s Warren Reports (with her students at Harvard Law) was one of the launch blogs at TPMCafe.
NBC (but only them so far) declares for Warren in Massachustts.
Just click the ‘senate’ tab in the scoreboard above to see the Senate numbers.