First national standalone live phone poll in a couple days: Fox poll Clinton +1.
I would say a fairly good run of polls today so far for the Democrats. Nothing dramatic. More just steady as she goes, which is good for Hillary Clinton since she’s ahead. Trump’s rise in the polls seems to have stalled, at least on the basis of today’s polls.
So Fox News had a weakly sourced dubious story. RCP and The Hill further distorted and added additional falsities. Now even Fox News … yes, even Fox News has been forced to admit the story was a “mistake.” Bret Baier says he’s “sorry.” This is not typical behavior for Fox. So I guess I give them some limited credit because stories being tendentious or fake or poorly sourced is usually okay at Fox. Maybe the post-Ailes Fox is slightly different.
This was BS from the word go. This is all part of the crop of the Giuliani/FBI/Trump/Fox News bullshit farm. Lies and agitprop, corruption of our basic governmental institutions. Truly a disgrace.
I mentioned this in my round-up this morning. Across the country we’re seeing huge run-ups in Hispanic early voting. That doesn’t necessarily mean growth in the Hispanic vote overall – in theory, it can simply mean election day voters moving to early voting. But it’s a strong indication that the overall turnout is going up when the numbers are at this level. It’s up 100% in Florida, 60% in North Carolina and 25% in Colorado and Nevada. Here’s our report.
A few quotes to consider when thinking about the FBI’s role in the final days before the election.
A list of election/numbers observations to peruse as you bite your nails and obsess over the polls.
It’s November 4 and the PollTracker Average stands at Clinton 46 percent, Trump 43.1 percent, a 2.9 percentage-point spread.
The TPM Electoral Scoreboard stands at Clinton 269, Trump 221. Florida, New Hampshire, and North Carolina are in the Toss Up category.
I hope you will join us here on election night. We will have live election results in every state for not just the presidential election, but every congressional race in the country, with breakouts down to the county level. We have one addition that I think real elections junkies and numbers nerds we’ll really like. Even if you’re neither you may find it very interesting. In each jurisdiction down to the county level, alongside the live election results, we’ll have the results from that county from the 2012 presidential election.
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US intelligence agencies are now looking at faked documents aimed at discrediting Hillary Clinton and the Democratic party as part of their probe of Russian efforts to disrupt and discredit the US presidential campaign.
From Reuters …
The FBI and U.S. intelligence agencies are examining faked documents aimed at discrediting the Hillary Clinton campaign as part of a broader investigation into what U.S. officials believe has been an attempt by Russia to disrupt the presidential election, people with knowledge of the matter said.