We’ve just updated our numbers. So take a look at our snapshot of where the key races stand one week out. We’ve put together a slide show of the trend graphs, as of today, of all the key races. Take a look.
Get ready for the Tea Party constitution. Brian Beutler runs down the top six laws (Social Security, minimum wage, etc.) Tea Partiers say are unconstitutional.
There’s some new video of last’s night incident in which a Moveon.org activist attacked a Rand Paul supporter’s foot with her head (I’m just anticipating the counter-programming here.) There’s no official word on the woman’s condition, but we understand she has left the hospital.
The West Virginia Republican Party is fully on board with the voter fraud bamboozlement movement, launching its own anti-voter fraud project for the election, complete with 2,000 signs posted statewide.
Remember, West Virginia has a very tight U.S. Senate race. Ryan Reilly has our report on the effort.
The top 6 laws tea partiers consider unconstitutional. It’s a pretty impressive list.
With some much clatter and noise I wanted to do a quick post focusing our attention on where the action seems to be for the Senate. Four races look to be realistically in doubt: Nevada, Colorado, Illinois and West Virginia. I’m still keeping a close eye on Pennsylvania and Kentucky. But Democrats need to rely on heroic assumptions to figure those as potential wins. Alaska, in theory, is in some question; but it basically seems to be whether the nominated or write-in Republican wins.
So back to our big four races. Of these, Colorado and West Virginia has been trending toward the Democrats — with Colorado still probably ever so slightly leaning GOP and the reverse for West Virginia (note that Nate Silver just nudged both slightly in the Dem direction). Nevada has been trending toward Sharron Angle but by such a narrow margin it’s definitely still in play. And finally there’s Illinois where Kirk has had a consistent but extremely narrow margin. But unlike these other states, the blueness of the state itself might be enough to overcome that very small advantage. And in Illinois, Giannoulias is actually ahead — albeit by a minuscule margin when all four candidates on the ballot are polled. (Compare this graph to this one.)
So there you go: Nevada, Colorado, West Virginia and Illinois.
A group of Rand Paul supporters held down and stomped the head of a female MoveOn member just before tonight’s debate. Not ‘assault’ in the BS sense we’ve seen both sides alleging when someone nudges a video tracker, but the real thing.
Late Update: Paul supporters seem to be putting out the word that the woman fell or tripped. But look at the video. It’s hard to reconcile the ‘fell’ storyline with the two or three guys shoving her, the one guy holding her down/attempting a headlock and the other guy stomping on her head.
Okay, I hope our great coverage of races across the country, our daily updated polling graphs and our detailed reporting on the on-going GOP agitation about allegations of vote fraud and so much more is enough to make up for the annoyance of my trying to get us over 30,000 fans for TPM on Facebook. But, please, indulge me. We only need 1474 more people to ‘like’ TPM on Facebook. So few! So close!
Help us get to 30,000 fans on Facebook by election day!
Tea Party Nation: Help retire Rep. Keith Ellison because he’s the only Muslim in Congress.