Three new polls in Florida from over the weekend suggest that tomorrow’s Republican gubernatorial primary is anybody’s game. But the man with the momentum is clear: everything’s coming up Bill McCollum.
Uber-wealthy former hospital executive Rick Scott’s not out of the race by any means, but it seems that his nasty attacks on McCollum have failed to put the establishment-backed McCollum out to pasture. Mason-Dixon’s latest poll of the race, taken last week and released Saturday, shows McCollum up 45-36. A new Qunninpiac poll taken over the weekend shows McCollum up 39-35. Scott can take solace in the fact that the latest PPP (D) poll still shows him with a 7-point lead — until he remembers that the last PPP poll of the race from July showed Scott up by 14.
Heading into the vote, it’s hard to predict who’ll come out on top. The TPM Poll Average shows the race to be very close, with McCollum ahead 42.1-38.2. That means McCollum could very possibly still lose. But it also means that Scott’s scorched-earth campaign to defeat McCollum has fallen flat, with McCollum picking up momentum in the race’s final weeks.