Why Boehner Is Wrong About Immigration Happening In 2015

House Speaker John Boehner of Ohio takes questions about his legislative agenda during a news conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, Wednesday, March 26, 2014. Boehner touched on the Ukraine crisis, relations with... House Speaker John Boehner of Ohio takes questions about his legislative agenda during a news conference on Capitol Hill in Washington, Wednesday, March 26, 2014. Boehner touched on the Ukraine crisis, relations with Russia, the NSA surveillance program, jobs and other issues. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite) MORE LESS
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

House Speaker John Boehner said Wednesday that immigration reform might happen in 2015 — if only President Barack Obama would secure the border.

The Ohio Republican was asked on conservative radio host Hugh Hewitt’s show on Tuesday about a potential delay in the president’s executive action to possibly halt deportation for some undocumented immigrants. His full response, with emphasis added:

Well, I’ve outlined to the President in July that the House, the Congress, ought to be dealing with immigration reform. It wasn’t likely to happen this year because of the flood on the border, and the President’s own pounding his chest about using his phone and his pen. But I did outline that you know, there’s a possibility that Congress could take this issue up next year. But if that were going to happen, there are things that he should do, and things he should not do as we lead up to this. And I think adhering to the law is a minimum requirement from the President. And he ought to be takin actions to better secure our borders. And so I would hope that the President would continue to follow the law, and begin to take steps that would better secure our border. It would create an environment where you could do immigration reform in a responsible way next year.

Boehner’s subliminal message to Obama is this: abandon your executive action, enforce the laws and we’ll play ball on reform next year.

That’s highly unlikely. Republican and Democratic operatives largely believe the prospects of reform passing in 2015 and 2016 are slim to none. In 2015, the presidential jousting will begin, and there are already signs that Republican candidates will be competing over who’s the toughest sheriff on immigration. Reform is anathema to conservative voters, and GOP leaders would be more wary of crossing them.

There’s also a good chance Republicans would rather wait until after the 2016 election, on the hope that they’ll win the White House and get a bite at that apple themselves. Republicans won’t like the idea of helping Obama secure another legacy-defining achievement.

Another obstacle is that the Senate-passed bill will be defunct in 2015, which means Congress would have to restart the process from scratch.

Even leading pro-immigration Democrats have openly admitted reform is probably dead — likely until at least 2017 — if it doesn’t pass this year.

“The problem with next year is, the Republican primaries heat up, the Republican primaries move the whole party way to the right,” Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), an author of the Senate-passed immigration bill, said in February. “I think the likelihood of getting it done in 2015 is much less than in 2014.”

Latest DC

Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for bdtex bdtex says:

    The likelihood of it EVER being done by a Republican majority in the House or Senate is slim and none.

  2. No matter what, recent events have provided evidence that the border is not sufficiently secured, and it needs to be.

    That’s a bi-partisan issue.

  3. Avatar for kols kols says:

    I am so sick of this lie that we have to secure the border before anything can be done about immigration reform. An insecure border is NOT why people are coming illegally or in a temporary legal status such as tourists or those on work visas. It’s what happens after they cross the border or come by other means that brings them here. Change what encourages them to come and border crossings will be down to a trickle.
    Secure the border first is just an excuse to do nothing. I’m sure thinking people have figured this out long ago.

  4. Well… in the republican mind, ‘secure the border’ means to build a wall that is perpetually taller than any ladder (present or future) ever made. And ‘comprehensive immigration reform’ means packing any suspected illegals onto cattle cars and running them across the border.

    It is a cross between ‘Magical Thinking’ an Poland circa 1941.

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

Participants

Avatar for system1 Avatar for bdtex Avatar for thehatter Avatar for kols Avatar for helen27

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: