Poll: Wisconsin GOP Senate Primary A Toss-Up

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The Republican primary for Senate in Wisconsin is going down to the wire, in the final survey conducted by Democratic-aligned Public Policy Polling.

Businessman Eric Hovde is at 27 percent, former Gov. Tommy Thompson 25 percent, former Rep. Mark Neumann 24 percent, and state Assembly Speaker Jeff Fitzgerald 15 percent. The survey of 557 likely primary voters was conducted August 8 and 9, and has a 4.2 percent margin of error.

From the pollster’s analysis:

Some of the underlying numbers bode well for Hovde’s prospects. Among voters who say they’re ‘very excited’ about casting their ballots he leads with 37% to 20% for Fitzgerald, 19% for Neumann, and 17% for Thompson. In the Missouri and Texas GOP contests over the last two weeks Todd Akin and Ted Cruz had the most enthusiastic supporters and both ended up outperforming their final poll numbers. Hovde appears to be the candidate best positioned to do that here.

The PollTracker Average shows Thompson at 27.7 percent, Hovde 26 percent, Neumann 23 percent, and Fitzgerald 15 percent.a

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