Thirty-One False Starts

Hello, it’s the weekend. This is The Weekender ☕️

One minor mystery of the DHS surge into Minneapolis has been the relative dearth of prosecutions.

Recall what happened in Chicago: DHS, having flooded the city with federal agents, sought aggressive charges against anyone who it perceived as having gotten in the way. They supplied affidavits for prosecutions run by the area’s U.S. Attorney’s Office; those largely failed. Per a review by the Chicago Sun-Times this week, 31 defendants have been charged over incidents related to the Chicago surge.

There’s no evidence I can find that Minneapolis is seeing anywhere near as many prosecutions, as of this writing, as Chicago saw weeks into the DHS campaign. Federal prosecutors tend to view the cases that they bring as part of their personal reputation: the more, bigger cases they win, the farther they’ll go. That can incentivize ambition, but it has a darker side: after the financial crisis, the threat of losing at trial led some senior federal law enforcement officials to take a more timid approach to the aftermath.

It’s part of why the Chicago prosecutions were so shocking. These cases largely died upon making initial contact with the justice system. Grand juries declined to return indictments; judges trimmed charges after seeing that body-worn camera footage failed to support prosecutors’ allegations.

There’s some evidence that this is happening in Minneapolis, albeit at an even earlier stage. Per MSNOW, judges are rejecting arrest warrants in cases around ICE protestors. That’s extremely rare — it happening at any kind of scale is essentially unheard of. Stephen Miller has spent the last week on social media fuming darkly about the judiciary; JD Vance, albeit speaking about immigration orders, endorsed an ICE attempt to claw power away from the judiciary while speaking in Minneapolis this week.

None of this means that the DHS cases and the administration’s maximally aggressive approach to prosecuting its opponents has stopped. On Thursday, a man who allegedly (and implausibly from the start) put a $10,000 price on Greg Bovino’s head was acquitted by a Chicago federal jury. Parts of the system are still intact.

— Josh Kovensky

More DOJ Overreach: Virginia Edition 

In the latest in DOJ overreach, the Justice Department is now suing Virginia because the state has refused to hand over sensitive voter information that the DOJ is simply not entitled to, as experts have told TPM. 

The DOJ is asking for Virginia’s voter database, which includes information like: social security numbers, drivers licenses, and addresses. And if this sounds like something the DOJ is not allowed to do, it’s because it’s not. It’s not supported by any statutory authority or the Constitution.

Virginia is one of 24 states that the Justice Department has demanded this type of data from. It remains a mystery why the DOJ could possibly need this type of data. (Hint— they don’t!) As experts have told TPM previously, it’s just a way for Trump’s corrupt DOJ to help him cast doubt on our-already very secure election system. 

A federal judge recently tossed out similar cases brought against California and Oregon. So, it’s fair to say that things aren’t looking great for the administration’s voter file crusade.

— Khaya Himmelman

Congress May End Up Funding the Gov’t

The House passed the remaining six appropriations bills on Thursday, including the Department of Homeland Security funding bill, despite the majority of House Democrats voting against the bill in protest of ICE’s cruel and violent conduct in cities across the nation. Seven House Democrats joined Republicans to help pass the DHS bill. 

The six-bill minibus, which includes the final tranche of the 12 appropriations bills needed to fund the government until the end of the fiscal year, is now headed to the Senate for a floor vote. Some Senate Democrats are showing early signs that they won’t support the DHS funding bill.

“We are not living in normal times. The President is acting chaotically and unlawfully and we shouldn’t give his deranged decisions the imprimatur of congressional approval by passing this legislation without significant amendment,” Sen. Tim Kaine (D-VA) — who was among the group of Democratic senators who caved to reopen the government after the historic government shutdown last year — said in a statement this week.

Sens. John Hickenlooper (D-CO) and Chris Murphy (D-CT) are also among the Democrats expressing their deep opposition to that portion of the appropriations package.

“I’m a NO on the DHS funding bill that allows ICE to keep terrorizing our communities,” Hickenlooper said on social media. “ICE’s conduct this past year is beyond comprehension. Now, Trump is asking Congress for more funding. No way.”

Since the DHS bill is a part of a minibus, opposing DHS funding means voting “no” on all six appropriations bills in the Senate.  

Top Democratic appropriators who will support the package argue that a shutdown triggered by opposition to ICE would not actually stop ICE operations, but would instead hurt other agencies and programs funded under the DHS bill, including the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), the Disaster Relief Fund, the U.S. Coast Guard, the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) and more.

“ICE received $75 billion in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. In the event of a lapse in funding, ICE would be able to sustain regular operations for multiple years, while the other agencies under this bill would likely be forced to furlough workers and reduce operations,” a press release from House Appropriations Committee Ranking Member Rosa DeLauro (D-CT) reads.

Republicans need seven Democrats to join them to approve the legislation in the Senate to avoid a possible partial government shutdown that could come at the end of the month. It remains unclear where Democratic leadership stands on the issue. While public sentiment around the Trump administration’s immigration enforcement in blue states like Minnesota has reached new lows in recent weeks in the wake of an ICE agent killing a U.S. citizen, some Democrats argue that the constraints added to the DHS bill are better than nothing. 

The bill includes funding that would require ICE agents to wear body cameras and language that “encourages” DHS to create a new uniform policy that would “ensure that law enforcement officers are clearly identifiable as Federal law enforcement.” It would also cut down the amount of funding for ICE removal operations by $115 million. 

— Emine Yücel

Updates in the Nationwide Redistricting Battle 

Maryland

Maryland’s Redistricting Advisory Commission voted this week to recommend a new congressional map. 

The fate of the map is still unclear and faces opposition from Democratic state Senators. 

New York

A New York state Judge ruled this week that the state’s only Republican-led district in New York City is unconstitutional and has to be redrawn by early February. A redrawn district could flip the city’s only Republican district to a more Democratic-leaning one. 

The decision is expected to be appealed in an appellate state court. 

Virgina

The state’s special election for a Democratic-led redistricting ballot measure will take place on April 21. 

— Khaya Himmelman

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  1. Avatar for bdtex bdtex says:

    First. Those failed prosecutions are cracking me up. Careers are being ruined.

  2. New York

    A New York state Judge ruled this week that the state’s only Republican-led district in New York City is unconstitutional and has to be redrawn by early February. A redrawn district could flip the city’s only Republican district to a more Democratic-leaning one.

    The decision is expected to be appealed in an appellate state court.

    Posted a couple days ago on the NYC Mayor Zohran Kwame Mamdani thread in the Hive

    From my morning Hell Gate email –

    The Return of Congressional District Chaos!

    It’s been just over two years since New York’s congressional districts were thrown into chaos by a judge’s ruling, so obviously we’re long overdue to reset the clock.

    Late Wednesday afternoon, a state judge ruled in favor of a longshot lawsuit that claims New York’s 11th congressional district, which encompasses all of Staten Island and most of Bay Ridge, Dyker Heights, and Bath Beach in Brooklyn, violates state laws against racial discrimination, by making the district’s growing Black and Latine communities “systematically unable to influence elections.”

    The plaintiffs in the case, who included Democratic voters on Staten Island, and who were represented by the Elias Law Group (which was founded to help Democrats win redistricting battles), had argued that the easiest remedy would be for the judge to order that overwhelmingly-Democratic Lower Manhattan be switched from the 10th congressional district (currently represented by Dan Goldman and spanning Lower Manhattan to brownstone Brooklyn), to the 11th, making a traditionally right-leaning district suddenly an extremely competitive one—and giving New York Democrats the opportunity to pick up another House seat heading into the midterms.

    It would look something like this map the plaintiffs filed with the court, with Bay Ridge moving over to the 10th congressional district, and Lower Manhattan south of Union Square being conjoined with Staten Island:

    We won’t know exactly what the new district would look like for at least two weeks—Justice Jeffrey H. Pearlman ordered the state’s Independent Redistricting Commission to redraw the district’s lines by February 6, before petitioning for June’s primary election begins later that month.

    What does this all mean for New York’s already simmering 10th congressional district primary between incumbent Goldman and former New York City comptroller Brad Lander?

    It’s very possible that Goldman, facing down a very tough battle against Lander, will instead jump over to a newly-redrawn 11th district including Lower Manhattan (where he used to serve as a federal prosecutor), and try to take out Staten Island’s MAGA Republican Nicole Malliotakis. (Technically, Goldman would not have to move to the 11th district to run—congressmembers do not have to live in the districts they represent BUT Goldman has more than enough cash for a FiDI pied-à-terre.)

    “As I said before, I’m proud to represent my constituents in my current district and am focused on running for reelection to continue to build on the work we are doing together,” Goldman said in a statement to Hell Gate. But, he added, "Our top priority must be to retake the majority and make Hakeem Jeffries Speaker of the House, and I will always place that goal first.”

    Essentially—Goldman is saying he would be willing to swap districts to take down Malliotakis to net Democrats another seat, something he said as much to Ben Max last week.

    Lander, for his part, appears psyched at the prospect of a non-competitive primary in Brooklyn, where he would coast to the nomination in the district.

    “I support efforts to enforce the Voting Rights Act and to protect the rights of voters of color,” he told Hell Gate in a statement. "Like the plaintiffs, and all candidates who might be affected, I eagerly await the results of the redistricting commission.”

    We checked in with local politics ball-knower and Zenith Research founder Adam Carlson for his reaction to this. “I’d be shocked if Goldman doesn’t shift to the new NY-11, both to avoid the Lander fight and because most of Lower Manhattan would now be in NY-11 (though we’ll wait to see the final shape of the district),” he told Hell Gate over text message. “Lander [has a] glide path almost certainly now that he has Mamdani’s backing. Doubt he’ll go unopposed but don’t think he’ll be sweating his competition.”

    A congressional district stretching from the liberal heathen enclaves of Tribeca and the East Village all the way to the MAGA strongholds of Tottenville? It’s not unprecedented! As recently as 1983, Staten Island was conjoined with Lower Manhattan to form a single congressional district.

    Still, will the jeans empire heir Goldman actually be able to waltz into Staten Island and assume that he’ll just be the uncontested nominee? "I don’t think there’s anywhere on Staten Island where (they’ll) say ‘Yeah, we’ll let the guy from Manhattan walk in,’” a Staten Island Democratic source told City & State.

    Malliotakis and her fellow Republicans are predictably not happy.

    “We are reviewing the judge’s decision and our options to protect the voices of the people of Staten Island and Brooklyn,” Malliotakis said in a statement. “Nothing changes the fact that this is a frivolous attempt by Washington Democrats to steal this congressional seat from the people and we are very confident that we will prevail at the end of the day.”

    Complicating Republican efforts to challenge the ruling is the fact that the defendants in the case are themselves the very state Democrats—like Kathy Hochul—who are rooting to have Malliotakis voted out of Congress.

    If Republicans do find a way to challenge the ruling to the state’s highest court—the Court of Appeals—it currently has a liberal majority, despite years of efforts by both Democrats Andrew Cuomo and Kathy Hochul to hand it over to conservatives.

    I added the following to my above post –

    ETA – If this congressional district change does hold up, and if Goldman does jump to the 11th district, I wonder if Mayor Mamdani will endorse him? As it stands now, Mamdani is endorsing Lander over Goldman in the 10th district primary.

    Goldman was vocal about neither endorsing nor voting for Mamdani in the mayoral general election last November.

    Dan Goldman is a well-liked and popular congressman with this country’s democrats. Though Brad Lander, who is currently primarying Goldman, is more popular with the NY’s 10th district’s residents. Lander has been their neighbor and advocate for 30 years. Goldman is a first term congressman.

  3. Isaiah 5:20-23
    20
    Ah, you who call evil good
    and good evil,
    who put darkness for light
    and light for darkness,
    who put bitter for sweet
    and sweet for bitter!
    21
    Ah, you who are wise in your own eyes,
    and shrewd in your own sight!
    22
    Ah, you who are heroes in drinking wine
    and valiant at mixing drink,
    23
    who acquit the guilty for a bribe,
    and deprive the innocent of their rights!

  4. Seven House Democrats joined Republicans to help pass the DHS bill.

    Screams into the void.

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