Trump Takes Lead In New Hampshire Poll, Reversing Clinton’s Lead In State

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally, Monday, Oct. 10, 2016, in Ambridge, Pa. (AP Photo/ Evan Vucci)
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Donald Trump comes out two points ahead in a New Hampshire poll from MassINC/WBUR, in a state where Clinton previously held a comfortable advantage.

Trump leads the head-to-head poll by two points, 44-42, in a poll conducted in the days following the FBI’s announcement about continued investigation into Clinton’s emails.

When third-party candidates are included, Trump leads by a single point, 40-39, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 10 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 3 percent among likely and leaning voters.

Clinton’s lead fell in New Hampshire from a five point lead, 46-41, when MassINC/WBUR polled the state mid-October. She held a smaller, three-point lead, 41-38, when third party candidates were included in the poll, with Johnson at 11 percent and Stein at 3 percent.

The MassINC/WBUR poll surveyed 500 likely New Hampshire voters via live telephone interview from Oct. 29-Nov. 1, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the presidential election in New Hampshire shows Clinton leading Trump, 45.3 to 41.2.

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Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for xyxox xyxox says:

    And for the third election in a row, pollsters who have absolutely no history show up in the final days releasing polls that have the Republican winning. And it has become a quadrennial tradition that media outlets buy into the phony hype. There are literally dozens of recent polls saying exactly the opposite, yet the media, TPM included, have to have their horse race.

    Of course, this didn’t happen in 2000 and 2004. In the final days it was the same narrative the entire way, horrible bad Democrat losing.

  2. When 2016 comes and goes, one of the topics that needs to get addressed by the media is the following: how did the RNC got away with running two different campaigns this cycle?

    One campaign clearly says “Trump for President.”

    Ayotte’s (in this instance) campaign stating: “While I won’t for the man, Trump is the best candidate for the job.”

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