Trump Loses Lead In Latest Poll Of Traditionally Red Arizona

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at Briar Woods High School, Tuesday, Aug. 2, 2016, in Ashburn, Va. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
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Hillary Clinton holds a slight advantage in the latest poll of Arizona likely voters, conducted by Arizona Republic/Morrison Institute for Public Policy/Cronkite News.

The latest results throw TPM’s PollTracker Average for Arizona into a tossup, in a state where 2012 Republican candidate Mitt Romney won the popular vote by 10 points.

Clinton leads by one point, 45-44, with Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson polling at 7 percent and Green Party’s Jill Stein following at 2 percent.

An early-August poll from CBS/YouGov showed Trump ahead by two points, 44-42, with Johnson at 5 percent and Stein at 2 percent. Republic/Morrison/Cronkite has not previously polled on the general election in Arizona.

The poll was conducted Aug. 17-31 among 704 likely Arizona general election voters.

The pollster calculated margins of error for each candidate’s vote percentage, with Clinton’s margin of error at plus or minus 3.3 percent, Trump’s at 3.2 percent, Johnson’s at 2.2 percent and Stein’s at 1.1 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the Arizona presidential election is currently a tossup, with Trump leading Clinton, 40.4 to 39.7.

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Notable Replies

  1. Maybe John McCain can lend him a helping hand ?

  2. Avatar for gasorg gasorg says:

    That would be bad news for John McCain.

  3. Yes, we can’t have that, right ?

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