Trump Ahead By 1 Point In ABC-Washington Post Tracking Poll

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally, Tuesday, Oct. 18, 2016, in Colorado Springs, Colo. (AP Photo/ Evan Vucci)
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Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by one point in a new ABC News-Washington Post tracking poll out Tuesday, taking 46 percent of the vote among likely voters compared to 45 percent for the former secretary of state.

These results are within the margin of error, and ABC notes that only .7 of a percentage point divides the two candidates. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson’s support shrank to 3 percent, while Jill Stein held 2 percent.

The survey was partly conducted in the wake of FBI director James Comey’s Friday announcement that the agency was looking into new emails potentially linked to its probe of Hillary Clinton’s private email server.

In the previous ABC-Post poll, released October 24, Clinton held a 12-point lead over Trump. A the time, the GOP nominee was weighed down by his disparaging comments about the women who have accused him of unwanted sexual advances and his refusal to say outright whether he would respect the outcome of the election.

According to TPM’s PollTracker Average, Clinton leads Trump by 48.3 to 43.7 nationally with a week to go before Election Day.

The ABC-Post poll was conducted by landline and cell phone from Oct. 27-30 among 1,128 likely voters. Respondents were interviewed in both English and Spanish, and the margin of error was plus or minus 3 percentage points.

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Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for cmj cmj says:

    This poll has shifted 12 points in ONE WEEK. I think this poll is overwhelmingly impacted by enthusiasm and people who have already voted…basically having them drop out of the polling universe. If people have already voted…are they considered “likely voters?”

  2. The Always Be Changing poll is pure bs. 12 point swing in one week this late in the game? Come on.

  3. Yeah it’s hard to believe that one email story could do that. I can’t see how you could be all for HRC a week ago, and then ignore everything about him because of Comey’s misadventure.

  4. Avatar for imkmu3 imkmu3 says:

    Seven
    More
    Fucking
    Days

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