TPM Polltracker

Poll: Trump 35 Points Ahead Of Rivals In New York

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AP Photo / Mark J. Terrill

The poll showed Trump at 55 percent, more than double the support of his nearest rival, Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R), who took 20 percent, followed by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) at 19 percent. This indicates that the race for New York has barely budged since the previous Quinnipiac poll in March, which showed Trump at 56 percent, Cruz at 20 percent and Kasich at 19 percent.

These results are consistent with other polling, which show Cruz and Kasich engaged in a tight scrum for a second-place slot. Trump looks set to win more than half of votes cast in the Republican primary on April 19, an important breakthrough for a candidate who has often struggled with an apparent ceiling in support just short of a majority.

TPM’s PollTracker Average shows Trump at 54.7 percent in the Empire State, followed by Kasich at 20 percent and Cruz at 18.9 percent.

The Quinnipiac poll was carried out using live telephone interviews from April 6-11. Pollsters surveyed 550 people likely to vote in the Republican primary, with a margin of error of 4.2 percentage points.

About The Author

Conor Dinan grew up in Falls Church, VA, and Paris. He earned his Bachelor’s degree at Oxford University, and contributed articles to the student paper Cherwell and The Isis magazine. He is currently the polling intern at TPM.