Dem Shocker: First Poll Shows Bernie Surging Past Hillary In New Hampshire

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., speaks at a rally, Monday, Aug. 10, 2015, at the Los Angeles Memorial Sports Arena in Los Angeles. (AP Photo/Ringo H.W. Chiu)
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A poll released Tuesday showed Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) pulling ahead of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton for the first time among likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire.

The Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald poll showed the self-described Democratic socialist senator leading Clinton 44 to 37 percent.

The latest survey showed a massive shift from a Pierce/Herald poll in March in which Clinton trounced Sanders 44 to 8 percent

The latest poll showed Vice President Joe Biden, who has reportedly been considering getting into the race, polling at 9 percent in the state.

New Hampshire holds the first primary in the country.

The poll was conducted among 442 likely Democratic primary voters from August 7 to 10 using live telephone interviews. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.7 percent.

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Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for litho litho says:

    Bad timing for Harry Enten, who just yesterday declared Sanders had reached his limit…

  2. Hillary supporters are already calling this poll an “outlier” and questioning the credibility of the pollsters. Just like Hillary supporters did in 2008 when a guy with a very strange name , “Barack” I think it was, who was bi-racial was creeping up in the polls.

    True, Hillary won the NH primary in 2008, Obama coming in a close second, but Obama lost in NH to Hillary. I doubt there was a poll in 2007 in the summer that put Obama anywhere near close to Hillary in NH. Just some thoughts for Hillary supporters.

  3. Nate Silver also had a piece up yesterday saying “Bernie’s surge is over.”

  4. Fascinating, but I’ll take it with a grain of salt [or maybe the whole shaker]. Nate Silver/538 gives these pollsters a C- rating and then, ffrom Sam Wang

    Sam Wang ‏@SamWangPhD 10h10 hours ago
    Sam Wang retweeted Joe Battenfeld
    God, you people are saps. First poll from this organization in six years, no track record, outlier data point. Geez.

    https://twitter.com/SamWangPhD

    Maybe, but I’m stayin’ skeptical for now.

  5. Avatar for finn13 finn13 says:

    “Shocker”? No. It’s only shocking if you live in a tiny, very comfortable bubble. One that prevents you from seeing the seething, simmering rage most of the rest of the country has towards Wall Street-corrupted politicians.

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

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