New Swing States Poll: Trump Takes Leads In Florida And Pennsylvania, Remains Tied In Ohio

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump smiles as he speaks in New York, Wednesday, June 22, 2016. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton in Florida and Pennsylvania among registered voters in a new Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday, reversing Clinton’s lead in the states in last month’s poll. Trump and Clinton remain tied in Ohio among registered voters.

In Florida, Trump leads Clinton by three points, 42-39. In the Quinnipiac poll released last month, Clinton led Trump in the state by eight points, 47-39.

In Pennsylvania, Trump leads Clinton by two points, 43-41. In the Quinnipiac poll from last month, Clinton led Trump by one point in the state, 42-41.

The candidates remain tied in Ohio, both receiving 41 percent support. They also tied in last month’s Quinnipiac poll, 40-40.

When minor party candidates are included in the poll questions, Trump leads Clinton in all three states.

In Florida, it was Trump 41, Clinton 36, Libertarian Gary Johnson 7, and the Green Party’s Jill Stein 4 percent.

In Pennsylvania, it was Trump 40, Clinton, 34, Johnson 9, and Stein 3.

In Ohio, it was Trump 37, Clinton 36, Johnson 7, and Stein 6.

Quinnipiac University conducted the polls June 30-July 11 via phone. The university surveyed 1,015 Florida voters with a margin or error plus or minus 3.1 percentage points; 955 Ohio voters with a margin of error plus or minus 3.2 percentage points; and 982 Pennsylvania voters with a margin of error plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

Latest Polltracker
150
Show Comments

Notable Replies

  1. I don’t believe these Q polls. Other polls of these states do not indicate this.

  2. Avatar for jw1 jw1 says:

    So much yet to come with regard to continued damage to both Trump and the GOPs brand.
    Not much to arouse the majority of ®s. Gingrich would be the perfect storm addition for the trifecta.
    And I cannot believe that any of the other floated candidates will energize Evangelicals at the rate required to be competitive.

    The upcoming RNC and Trump’s VP selection would normally be a jumping off point with a bump in polls.
    I anticipate the bump to be a dead-cat bounce.

    jw1

  3. I’d like to dismiss any poll that shows this national embarrassment in the lead, however I’m seeing an increase in Trump bumper stickers and yard signs recently. He has the idiots’ vote sewn up and there are an endless supply of them. An old man recently explained to me that he really liked the idea of making the country great again. Not enough brain cells were firing to tie that hat slogan to any tangible policy, but he thought it sounded good.

  4. very worrisome. i hope people are taking the threat seriously. this man and his supporters are for real. we are at risk. let’s mobilize accordingly.

  5. Hillary is up by 6 - 12 points nationally but behind in Florida and tied in PA/Ohio? B.S…

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

144 more replies

Participants

Avatar for lestatdelc Avatar for jw1 Avatar for jtgeomom Avatar for thunderhawk Avatar for rudesan Avatar for rollinnolan Avatar for hccarey Avatar for sniffit Avatar for ralph_vonholst Avatar for jjrothery Avatar for jrlentini Avatar for phlipincoco Avatar for ronbyers Avatar for greycardinal Avatar for azjude Avatar for thunderclapnewman Avatar for emilianoelmexicano Avatar for tena Avatar for beattycat Avatar for jonney_5 Avatar for sidney76 Avatar for yail_bloor Avatar for jquas2sunset Avatar for tomtresh

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: