Poll: Paul Most Competitive Against Clinton in Key States

In this photo taken Feb. 10, 2015, Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky. speaks in his office on Capitol Hill in Washington. In 2002, then Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton took a vote in favor of the Iraq war that would come to haunt her... In this photo taken Feb. 10, 2015, Sen. Rand Paul, R-Ky. speaks in his office on Capitol Hill in Washington. In 2002, then Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton took a vote in favor of the Iraq war that would come to haunt her presidential prospects. Now, a new generation of senators weighing White House bids _ Marco Rubio, Rand Paul and Ted Cruz _ will have to make a similar choice about President Barack Obama’s use of force request. Clinton, too, will face questions about her position on Obama’s proposal, but this time has the advantage of avoiding an actual vote on the Senate floor. (AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite) MORE LESS
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Of the top potential 2016 Republican presidential candidates, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) seems to be the most competitive against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in three key swing states, according to a new Quinnipiac Poll released Wednesday.

In matchups in Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia, Clinton leads Paul but the Kentucky senator is still competitive. In Colorado, Clinton leads Paul 43 percent to 41 percent; in Iowa, Clinton leads Paul 45 percent to 37 percent; and in Virginia Clinton leads Paul 44 percent to 42 percent.

The poll’s findings came a day after news broke that Paul would likely announce his presidential campaign in early April.

By contrast, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush trails Clinton 44 percent to 36 percent in Colorado, 45 percent to 35 percent in Iowa, and is tied with Clinton in Virginia, 42 percent to 42 percent.

Another likely top 2016 Republican contender, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, just barely trails Clinton in Colorado, 42 percent to 40 percent. In Iowa, Walker trails Clinton 45 percent to 35 percent. In Virginia, Clinton leads Walker 45 percent to 40 percent.

In each of the three swing states, Clinton doesn’t quite hit the 50 percent approval, but she gets close. In Colorado, 46 percent said they have a favorable view of her while 47 percent said they have an unfavorable view. In Iowa, 49 percent said they have a favorable view of her while 40 percent said they have an unfavorable view. In Virginia, 48 percent said they have a favorable view while 44 percent said they have an unfavorable view.

The Quinnipiac Poll was conducted February 5 to February 15. 1,049 voters were surveyed in Colorado; 1,089 voters were surveyed in Iowa; and 1,074 voters were surveyed in Virginia. In each survey, the margin of error was plus or minus 3 percentage points.

See the full poll results here.

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Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for terje terje says:

    That may be what the polls show today, but that isn’t what they would look like in October 2016.

    Rand Paul would never stand up to the scrutiny of a Presidential campaign. He may get moderate push-back now when he opines about things like vaccines that result in immediate mental retardation - but if he were to be the Republican nominee, he would be pilloried (by late night comics, by news shows, by Democratic pundits, etc) in ways that would simply make him completely unelectable. Paul has already said and done so many insane things that the material he provides would sink him.

    I don’t think Paul has much prospect of surviving the Republican primaries and becoming the nominee, but if he is these kinds of numbers would evaporate quickly once his insane statements are placed under a national microscope…

  2. The Confederacy is formidable.

  3. Avatar for cdrnla cdrnla says:

    This is the silliest thing I’ve seen this morning and yes I looked at Facebook today. We can only hope the GOP picks Paul. Can’t wait to hear how running a 17 trillion dollar economy on gold doubloons will work…

  4. Gotta love any article that implies RANDY has a snowballs chance.

  5. Avatar for bdtex bdtex says:

    The thing that he’s got going for him is that he’s young. He’s able to attract more young libertarians and Republicans than his dad. People laugh but don’t forget that McCain beat GWB in NH in 2000,McCain lost IA in 2008,Romney lost IA in 2012 and Gingrich won SC in 2012. We don’t know who all is running on the GOP side,but the potential is there for Rand Paul to pick up a coupla early wins.

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