Poll: Republican Tom Cotton Has A Commanding Lead In Arkansas

Republican Congressman Tom Cotton, center, greets supporters during a fund-raising event in Little Rock, Ark., Thursday, Aug. 7, 2014. Cotton is challenging Democratic U.S. Sen. Mark Pryor in the November election. (... Republican Congressman Tom Cotton, center, greets supporters during a fund-raising event in Little Rock, Ark., Thursday, Aug. 7, 2014. Cotton is challenging Democratic U.S. Sen. Mark Pryor in the November election. (AP Photo/Danny Johnston) MORE LESS
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The end may be near for Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor of Arkansas, barring a huge surprise on Election Day.

A new poll by the University of Arkansas shows Republican Tom Cotton with a commanding 13-point lead among “very likely voters” in the state.

Cotton led Pryor by a 49-36 percent margin, well outside the margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.1 percentage points.

Fifteen percent didn’t support either or didn’t know.

The survey shows a larger lead for Cotton than most polls, but it’s consistent with data showing a steady and growing advantage for the Republican challenger in recent months.

The “very likely voter” sample reached 568 Arkansans from Oct. 21-27.

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