Less than a week away from two key primaries, Hillary Clinton led Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) by 27 points in Florida and 30 points in Ohio in the latest CNN/ORC poll released Wednesday morning.
In Ohio, Clinton earned 63 percent while Sanders earned 33 percent. According to the TPM PollTracker Average, Clinton has a 16.3-point lead over Sanders.
In Florida, the former secretary of state earned 61 percent while Sanders earned 34 percent. According to the TPM PollTracker Average, Clinton has a 30.7-point lead over Sanders.
In a general election match-up, the poll found Clinton led Donald Trump by 7 points in both Ohio and Florida. She would also lead Cruz by 9 points in Ohio and lead Rubio by 3 points.
In Florida general election match-ups, Cruz beats Clinton in this poll by 1 point and Rubio leads by 4 points.
The Ohio and Florida primaries are Tuesday.
The polls were conducted from March 2-6 among 264 likely Democratic voters in Florida and 294 likely Democratic voters in Ohio. The margin of error in Florida was plus or minus 6 points among Democrats and plus or minus 5.5 points in Ohio.
I just read a column over at fivethirtyeight. They are scratching their heads over how they (and everyone else) could have gotten Michigan so wrong.
Interesting times.
They were wrong but given primaries it is hard to judge turn out. Not to mention it did not have much of an impact. Clinton still won the day in a sizable way by dominating Mississippi. Michigan was almost 50-50 with Sanders taking a few more delegates. So it was only a modest help to him.
It was good for his side, but net it did not do much to help him. As Clinton widened her lead.
If these polls hold up it will “All be over but the crying.” after Tuesday.
Yeah, suuuure. You want us to believe this like we did the 20+ polling lead in Michigan? I don’t think so.
After the polls being off by Silver’s average of over 21 points, the greatest upset in the history of primary politics, you still think these polls matter?
How ridiculous can you get? Where’s the headline about a guy who fought every disadvantage possible and beat one of the strongest, most vicious political machines in the modern era?
He’s going to win this race. Now that Pagliano is talking, will Jake, Cheryl or Huma be the next to trade staying out of jail for immunity? First to turn always gets the best deal. When that happens, Hillary’s stock will tank - even among the superdelegates, eventually, who won’t want to go down with the Clinton ship.