Donald Trump leads the presidential race in a new poll of likely Florida voters from CNN/ORC, breaking a streak of leads for Hillary Clinton in the swing state.
This new poll pushed TPM’s PollTracker Average for Florida to lean Republican on TPM’s Electoral Scoreboard.
Trump leads the race by four points among likely Florida voters, 50-46, according to the new poll. Among the larger pool of registered voters, Clinton leads the race by two points, 49-47, according to the poll.
Trump leads by three points, 47-44, when third party candidates are included, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 6 percent and Green Party Candidate Jill Stein at 1 percent.
CNN/ORC has not polled on the election in Florida recently, but the latest Florida poll by CBS/YouGov shows Clinton leading by two points.
The CNN/ORC poll was conducted Sept. 7-12 among 886 registered Florida voters, with a subset of 788 likely Florida voters. The margin of error for both the registered voter and likely voter populations is plus or minus 3.5 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average for the presidential race in Florida shows Trump leading Clinton, 47.4 to 45.2.