Hillary Clinton comes out ahead by seven points in the latest national poll by Monmouth University, down from a 13-point lead in the last Monmouth poll in early August.
In a head to head match, Clinton leads Trump, 49-42, among likely voters.
When including third-party candidates, Clinton leads 46-39, with Gary Johnson at 7 percent and Jill Stein at 2 percent.
The latest poll shows Clinton’s lead over Trump shrunk since Monmouth’s poll from Aug. 4-7, where she was 13 points ahead of Trump, with Johnson at 7 percent and Stein at 2 percent, among likely voters.
The Monmouth University poll was conducted Aug. 25-28 over the phone among 689 likely voters surveyed nationally. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average shows Clinton leading Trump, 46.6 to 41.1.
A rational result. Their poll earlier in the month was at the height of the post-convention bounce. But when she is approaching 50 and he is stuck around 40, that gives you an indication of very stable race.
Anyone who hasn’t decided how they are going to vote in this election hasn’t been paying attention…
I agree, these number are gonna stick…
I think this is exactly where the race is right now, between 7-8 points, which will translate to a landslide in the Electoral College because Johnson will throw a few random states to Clinton. Weighted Party ID is only D+4 and it has a 71% white electorate. The early August poll was a pure bounce. This is realistic and steady.
Wait for debates and watch numbers soar.
Item inside the Monmouth numbers…Swing States earlier in the month were 42-34…now 52-29…Clinton
Closing of the gap in overall numbers was rise of Johnson in leaning states and Trump doing better in blue states (26% to 31%)