Trump Closes In On Clinton In CBS-New York Times Poll

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, accompanied by first lady Michelle Obama, left, speaks at a rally at Wake Forest University in Winston-Salem, N.C., Thursday, Oct. 27, 2016. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
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Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by three points among likely voters in a CBS News-New York Times poll released Thursday, holding 45 percent of the vote to Trump’s 42 percent.

The Libertarian party’s Gary Johnson earned 5 percent and Green Party’s Jill Stein took 4 percent.

These numbers mark a significant improvement for the Republican nominee, who lagged nine points behind Clinton in the previous CBS-NYT poll from mid-October. At the time, Trump was bogged down by news reports about the “Access Hollywood” tape in which he bragged about groping women without consent and accusations of unwanted sexual advances made by multiple women.

The race has become much tighter in the past week amid news that the FBI is looking into emails belonging to Clinton aide Huma Abedin to see if they are related to their investigation into the former secretary of state’s use of a private email server.

Some 62 respondents to the CBS-NYT poll said the FBI news did not change their vote. A majority of Republicans said it made them less likely to vote for Clinton, while most Democrats and independents said it made no difference.

Few voters seem open to changing their minds about the candidates at this late date in the race, with 92 percent saying their opinion is made up.

TPM’s PollTracker Average has Clinton holding a slight lead with 47.6 percent of the vote compared to 45.3 percent for Trump.

The CBS-NYT poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 28-Nov 1, 2016 among 1,561 adults nationwide.

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Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for imkmu3 imkmu3 says:

    So it only took a couple of weeks to get over Trump being a sexual predator?

    Sorry, I forget about EMAILS, WIENER, BILL CLINTON!1!11!!!

    Not to mention some on this board insinuating that Bill Clinton is in any ways equal to Trump.

  2. Hillary’s firewall of 273 electoral votes looks pretty solid. I agree with Josh’s comments on the election. Trump is fighting for tossups states that could make this election very close. But Trump so far cannot flip that one very blue polled state to flip to actually win.

    BOTTOM LINE is turnout. If Democrats vote like they did in just 2012, Hillary wins. If Hillary loses it’s Democrats across the nation own fought for not turning out. The idea that Trump could be President should scare every registered Democrat voter out to vote for Hillary.

    I am now cautiously optimistic as Trump has to win every single tossup state and flip a blue blue state. Hillary wins either Nevada, Florida or North Carolina (3 states she is polling with small small leads) she wins. Trump needs all 3 plus flipping that obscure Blue State.

  3. Welp, time for Amy Chozick to concoct another front page clouds and shadows piece. Need that dead heat.

  4. After Everything – Clinton Maintains Lead

    Another way that same headline could be written, of course, it harkens back to a time before people clicked on headlines.

  5. “Hillary Clinton Still Leads a Tighter Race, Times/CBS News Poll Shows” is the title of the NYT article you reference. To me, that is a very different emphasis than:
    " Trump Closes In On Clinton In CBS-New York Times Poll".

    The TPM article is fine, but this is a really bad time for TPM to revert to the click-baiting, tabloidish headline writing that it has employed through much of this past year.

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