Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump 50-41 among likely voters ahead of Wednesday’s final presidential debate, according to a new Bloomberg Politics poll.
This nine-point advantage holds when third-party candidates are taken into account, with Clinton leading 47 percent to Trump’s 38 percent. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earns 8 percent of the vote, while the Green Party’s Jill Stein takes 3 percent.
These results are in keeping with a number of other recent national surveys showing Clinton with a comfortable lead after a leaked video of Trump boasting about groping women prompted a number of women to come forward with sexual harassment allegations against him.
According to pollster J. Ann Selzer, who conducted the Bloomberg survey, Clinton has in recent weeks boosted her support among groups that formerly backed Trump.
“This poll shows movement toward Clinton with all the right groups it takes to win—including men and those without a college degree,” Selzer told Bloomberg. “Their alignment with Clinton is a formidable change in the algebra.”
The Democratic nominee leads her Republican rival 49.5 to 41.9 percent, according to TPM’s PollTracker average.
Bloomberg’s poll was conducted among 1,006 likely voters between Oct. 14-17. The margin of error was 3.1 percentage points.
Oh, man, Donny will be flailing like never before.
Note to self: stock up on popcorn and beer, the fireworks will be something else.
Three guesses as to what Trump’s base thinks of a Bloomberg poll, and the first 2 don’t count…
I’m sure this didn’t sound abrasive and offensive in Ann’s head.
But all along, her polls have had a Trumpish lean relative to the others because her turnout model is whiter, maler, and less educated than the other pollsters’ are. If her polls are showing this, a) her reputation will be saved and b) there’s a real chance the Republicans are going to lose the House.
Trump may lie that he “does not follow the polls anymore” but he obsessively reads every single one.
I expect this to translate into an absolute melt down of epic proportions in the “debate” tonight.
He is scared to death of losing big (and having to answer to the Russian Oligarchs who have propped him up) and losing to a WOMAN at that!
He will be bat-shit-insane tonight, blaming everyone from “Those People” (I bet he uses the term “The Blacks”) to the “Bilderberg Group” to the Bush Family, to “International Bankers” (or “Jews” to the dog-whistle targets) to Paul Ryan and even possibly Reince Priebus (expect him to excoriate Ryan) and every other prominent Republican he can blame.
He might even call for armed revolution “IF” he loses because CLEARLY that means the “vote is rigged!”.
He will assume (as I do) that the crowd will be packed with Trump/Fox supporters and will play to them exclusively, throwing red meat to them at every opportunity. He will lie constantly, loudly, and will shout down Hillary at every opportunity. I expect Chris Wallace to be meekly overwhelmed by his outbursts and unable/unwilling to do anything about it. Wallace will attempt to quell the “spontaneous” (right) chants of “Lock Her Up!” the moment Hillary takes the stage, and will fail miserably.Trump will mug, and grin, and egg them on all night.
Trump will not be “Unshackled” he will be “Un-Hinged”.
What a sight to behold. CSPAN here I come.
I hope the networks, as is now traditional, have cameras in the candidates’ rooms on election night as they watch the returns come in and the states get called. Just to see Trump’s face turn redder and oranger, his tiny little fingers clenching into pudgy baby-like fists, Chris Christie nervously eating (okay, that’s just a normal Tuesday), Rudy Giuliani foaming at the mouth…it will be delicious.