Swing State Poll Finds Clinton Leading In Iowa And Pennsylvania, Tied In Ohio

Democratic presidential candidate, Hillary Clinton, holds a Get Out the Vote event at the University of Bridgeport in Bridgeport, Connecticut on April 24, 2016. (Photo by Monica Jorge) *** Please Use Credit from Credit Field ***
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Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in Iowa and Pennsylvania while she’s even with the presumed Republican nominee in Ohio, according to a new swing state poll released Wednesday afternoon.

An NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll shows Clinton ahead of Trump by nine points, 45-36, among registered voters in Pennsylvania. In Iowa, she leads by three points, 42-39, in the registered voter population.

The survey found Clinton ties with Trump among registered voters in Ohio, 39-39. That result lines up with a Quinnipiac poll released earlier Wednesday morning, which showed a 41-41 tie among majority-party presidential candidates in the Buckeye State.

This pollster last surveyed Pennsylvania in April, Ohio in March, and Iowa in January, before the race had narrowed to two presumptive nominees.

But the poll contrasts with other swing state polls released earlier this week that showed Trump squeaking out in front of Clinton in the Keystone State and the Hawkeye State. Wednesday’s Quinnipiac poll put Trump two points ahead of Clinton in Pennsylvania, 43-41, while a Monmouth University poll released Tuesday showed Trump leading among registered voters in Iowa by two points, 44-42.

The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll was conducted July 5-10 and surveyed 822 registered voters in Iowa, 848 registered voters in Ohio and 829 registered voters in Pennsylvania. It had a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points for all three states.

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Notable Replies

  1. Can not figure out where these polls are coming from. Here in very red Marion County Iowa we have not encountered one person who has stated they will vote for Trump. Many have said they will not vote for Hillary but in the same breath said they could never vote for Trump… Maybe third party or no vote at all

  2. In public they say they would never vote for Trump because they’d look like a fascist/racist/etc. but when a pollster asks they tell a different story.

  3. Clinton is in trouble and will remain so until the cloud of the email scandal is gone. I am cautiously optimistic she can still win but I wouldn’t bet money on it.

  4. i would and i have.

  5. She isn’t in trouble.

    This situation was expected and it just shows that folks are locked in regards to the candidate.

    Look on the bright side though-Cleveland should be very interesting

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