Three swing state polls released by Quinnipiac show Democrat Hillary Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump in Colorado, Iowa and Virginia.
Clinton holds the largest lead among Virginia voters, where she polls 12 points ahead of Trump, 50-38.
In Colorado, Clinton maintains a 10-point lead, 49-39.
And in Iowa, where the polls have mostly been tight, Clinton now holds a three-point lead, 47-44, according to the new Quinnipiac poll.
Quinnipiac has not polled previously any of the these three swing states about general election preferences.
A Washington Post/Abt-SRBI Virginia poll released Tuesday showed Clinton ahead of Trump by eight points, 51-43, in a two-way presidential poll among the state’s likely voters.
The most recent poll of Colorado’s registered voters, conducted by NBC/WSJ/Marist, shows Clinton ahead by 14 points.
The newest Iowa poll, from Suffolk University, showed Trump ahead by one point among likely voters.
This swing state poll was conducted over the phone by Quinnipiac from Aug. 9-16. The survey included 830 likely Colorado voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent, 846 likely Iowa voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent and 808 likely Virginia voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average in Colorado shows Clinton leading Trump, 48 to 36.7.
TPM’s PollTracker Average in Iowa shows Clinton leading Trump, 46.6 to 44.3.
TPM’s PollTracker Average in Virginia shows Clinton leading Trump, 50.2 to 40.
Wonder when Suffolk is gonna stop polling in VA in this election cycle?
Right now it looks good in all the swing states with the possibility of Arizona and Georgia going red. That would give Hillary a 385-153 electoral lead. I believe to actually instill change that would destroy the crazies hold on the GOP. Bringing the GOP back to the fold is Texas. The recent polling showing Hillary only down 6 in Texas is interesting. It might be a bridge too far. But if Hillary won Texas 423-115 you are looking at a total blowout that would force the GOP to totally capitulate.
Strong and steady is good.
But now is the time to re-allocate funding into those swing states where we can capture additional Senate Seats.
RCP has there “no tossup map” for the Senate at 50:50.
North Carolina?
Nevada?
Florida?
Given the amount of group a GOP runner has to make up anyway (having to win most of the swing states to have a shot) this is not shaping up well for the Donald.
Yeah, the biggest news of the day (I think) is the confirmation that Gov. Bayh is +7 in his senate race. Most people thought he had a lead, but it was unclear how much. This gives Dems a much better chance to get 50.
But you’re right. It is 2.5 months away and they need to invest as much money as possible to try to win a couple extra seats since we’ll likely get crushed in 2018.
The three you mention and Missouri are probably the best bets. Florida will be tough. But maybe Murphy will close the gap after the primary. And we still need to win NH and Penn. which are air tight races.